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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$974
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$73
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
7,773W / 1,063L · 818 open
Win Return (30d)
87%
8,100W / 1,223L · 331 open
Trades (30d)
9,654
across 2,834 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.42
avg win $5 · loss $44
Profit Factor
1.10
$11,132 won / $10,159 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$541
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $321,399 · all-time $5,680,854

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.7% 39,124W/8,761L 13952 $1,124,448
🌤 Weather 91.0% 3,836W/381L 1543 $75,130
🏛 Politics 63.7% 643W/367L 645 $52,845
⚽ Sports 88.3% 256W/34L 418 $31,581
🎬 Culture 79.5% 416W/107L 316 $21,839
💵 Economy 60.4% 261W/171L 240 $25,569
🤖 Tech 45.4% 54W/65L 95 $6,511
₿ Crypto 62.8% 27W/16L 52 $1,472
🔬 Science 30 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #2 song this week? Yes 219 0.095 $20.80 $7.12 +52.0%
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week? Yes 214 0.070 $15.01 $1.61 +12.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.285 $9.28 $7.93 +583.8%
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? Yes 231 0.026 $6.01 $-8.43 -58.4%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 43 0.115 $4.90 $3.12 +176.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 4 0.795 $3.21 $3.09 +2603.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 3 0.915 $2.96 $2.85 +2644.9%
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? Yes 3 0.984 $2.71 $2.63 +3047.0%
Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament Yes 3 1.000 $2.71 $2.58 +1898.9%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 3 0.845 $2.66 $2.40 +914.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.034 $2.51 $0.24 +10.5%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? Yes 2 0.964 $2.33 $2.18 +1442.3%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 2 0.885 $2.15 $1.66 +342.5%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.027 $2.02 $-0.25 -10.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes 3 0.595 $1.99 $1.57 +376.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3 0.645 $1.94 $1.84 +1964.0%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 3 0.725 $1.90 $1.77 +1277.5%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.987 $1.85 $1.82 +5029.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 2 1.000 $1.78 $1.69 +1898.9%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.974 $1.77 $1.74 +5059.7%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? Yes 3 0.705 $1.77 $1.54 +675.4%
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.525 $1.75 $1.57 +897.4%
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? Yes 2 0.820 $1.64 $0.97 +146.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27? Yes 67 0.025 $1.64 $-0.39 -19.1%
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 9 0.176 $1.62 $1.35 +498.4%