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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$231
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$462
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
1,064W / 250L · 910 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
1,531W / 643L · 50 open
Trades (30d)
2,224
across 580 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.79
avg win $12 · loss $80
Profit Factor
0.93
$3,131 won / $3,361 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,076
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $324,523 · all-time $5,690,333

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.1% 39,305W/9,175L 13953 $1,124,454
🌤 Weather 91.0% 3,836W/381L 1544 $75,136
🏛 Politics 51.7% 784W/732L 645 $52,845
⚽ Sports 88.3% 256W/34L 418 $31,581
🎬 Culture 79.5% 416W/107L 316 $21,839
💵 Economy 60.4% 261W/171L 240 $25,569
🤖 Tech 45.4% 54W/65L 95 $6,511
₿ Crypto 62.8% 27W/16L 52 $1,472
🔬 Science 30 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? No 270 0.999 $269.60 $-0.14 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? No 270 0.999 $269.60 $1.21 +0.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? No 270 0.999 $269.60 $-0.14 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? No 270 0.999 $269.60 $-0.13 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? No 270 0.995 $268.52 $-0.94 -0.4%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 270 0.814 $219.65 $32.72 +17.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 270 0.210 $56.70 $-35.28 -38.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? No 50 0.993 $49.65 $-0.13 -0.3%
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? No 50 0.990 $49.54 $-0.03 -0.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? No 50 0.989 $49.49 $-0.37 -0.7%
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more? No 50 0.986 $49.37 $-0.15 -0.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? No 50 0.982 $49.08 $-0.24 -0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? No 50 0.965 $48.29 $-0.15 -0.3%
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? No 50 0.965 $48.25 $-0.09 -0.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? No 50 0.934 $46.70 $-0.24 -0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? No 50 0.927 $46.44 $-1.12 -2.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? No 50 0.895 $44.75 $-0.25 -0.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? No 50 0.825 $41.31 $-0.55 -1.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? No 50 0.750 $37.50 $-0.03 -0.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? No 50 0.730 $36.55 $36.55 +0.0%
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 30 0.999 $29.95 $0.09 +0.3%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 30 0.912 $27.36 $8.58 +45.7%
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #2 song this week? Yes 219 0.095 $20.80 $7.12 +52.0%
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week? Yes 214 0.069 $14.69 $1.29 +9.6%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.285 $9.28 $7.93 +583.8%