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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$547
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$66
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
888W / 503L · 1,407 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
1,534W / 1,216L · 48 open
Trades (30d)
2,798
across 379 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$3.46
avg win $27 · loss $133
Profit Factor
1.18
$3,612 won / $3,065 lost
Reward / Risk
0.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$833
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $321,399 · all-time $5,680,854

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.7% 38,837W/8,714L 13668 $1,099,807
🌤 Weather 90.7% 3,696W/379L 1464 $71,919
🏛 Politics 63.7% 643W/367L 624 $50,628
⚽ Sports 88.2% 255W/34L 403 $27,739
🎬 Culture 79.5% 416W/107L 300 $20,760
💵 Economy 60.8% 261W/168L 233 $24,938
🤖 Tech 45.4% 54W/65L 79 $4,362
₿ Crypto 62.5% 25W/15L 49 $1,421
🔬 Science 30 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 26, 2026? No 85 0.997 $84.70 $-0.18 -0.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026? No 85 0.995 $84.58 $-0.28 -0.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026? No 85 0.995 $84.58 $-0.29 -0.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026? No 85 0.993 $84.41 $-0.42 -0.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 19, 2026? No 85 0.990 $84.15 $-0.14 -0.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026? No 85 0.987 $83.89 $0.97 +1.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026? No 85 0.985 $83.72 $-1.11 -1.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 18, 2026? No 85 0.971 $82.49 $-1.65 -2.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 17, 2026? No 85 0.969 $82.36 $-2.46 -2.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026? No 85 0.962 $81.77 $-2.98 -3.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 20, 2026? No 85 0.961 $81.64 $81.64 +0.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 9, 2026? No 79 0.998 $78.83 $78.83 +0.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? No 85 0.874 $74.25 $-6.21 -7.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026? No 85 0.759 $64.52 $10.48 +19.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? No 85 0.482 $40.97 $1.33 +3.4%
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #2 song this week? Yes 219 0.095 $20.80 $7.12 +52.0%
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week? Yes 214 0.072 $15.44 $2.04 +15.2%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.285 $9.28 $7.93 +583.8%
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? Yes 231 0.026 $6.12 $-8.32 -57.6%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 43 0.115 $4.90 $3.12 +176.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 4 0.795 $3.21 $3.09 +2603.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 3 0.915 $2.96 $2.85 +2644.9%
Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament Yes 3 1.000 $2.71 $2.58 +1898.9%
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? Yes 3 0.981 $2.71 $2.62 +3039.0%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 3 0.845 $2.66 $2.40 +914.0%