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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,233
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$456
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
1,732W / 767L · 4,591 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
4,045W / 2,942L · 103 open
Trades (30d)
7,090
across 1,171 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$4.19
avg win $25 · loss $103
Profit Factor
1.25
$6,168 won / $4,935 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,360
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $308,006 · all-time $5,673,816

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.7% 38,743W/8,705L 13659 $1,099,717
🌤 Weather 90.7% 3,691W/379L 1456 $71,858
🏛 Politics 63.7% 643W/367L 624 $50,628
⚽ Sports 88.2% 253W/34L 402 $27,709
🎬 Culture 79.5% 416W/107L 300 $20,760
💵 Economy 60.6% 258W/168L 233 $24,938
🤖 Tech 45.4% 54W/65L 79 $4,362
₿ Crypto 62.5% 25W/15L 49 $1,421
🔬 Science 30 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? No 40 0.999 $39.97 $0.18 +0.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? No 40 0.999 $39.97 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? No 40 0.999 $39.96 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? No 40 0.996 $39.86 $-0.04 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? No 40 0.996 $39.85 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 6? No 40 0.985 $39.40 $39.40 +0.0%
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week? Yes 214 0.130 $27.76 $14.36 +107.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 40 0.678 $27.12 $0.11 +0.4%
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #2 song this week? Yes 219 0.095 $20.80 $7.12 +52.0%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 40 0.315 $12.61 $-2.35 -15.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 6? No 10 0.999 $9.98 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 6? No 10 0.998 $9.97 $9.97 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 6? No 10 0.996 $9.96 $9.96 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 73°F or below on August 6? No 10 0.995 $9.95 $-0.03 -0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 6? No 10 0.965 $9.65 $-0.05 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 6? No 10 0.955 $9.55 $9.55 +0.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.285 $9.28 $7.93 +583.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 6? No 10 0.775 $7.75 $-0.05 -0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 6? No 10 0.715 $7.15 $0.05 +0.7%
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? Yes 231 0.025 $5.66 $-8.78 -60.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 6? No 10 0.555 $5.55 $5.55 +0.0%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 43 0.115 $4.90 $3.12 +176.0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? No 8 0.555 $4.44 $4.44 +0.0%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 10 0.430 $4.30 $2.30 +115.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 4 0.785 $3.17 $3.05 +2569.0%