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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$9
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$225
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
105W / 51L · 42 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
114W / 75L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
198
across 107 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.10
avg win $3 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.06
$155 won / $147 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $308,006 · all-time $5,673,816

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.7% 38,743W/8,705L 13657 $1,099,694
🌤 Weather 90.7% 3,691W/379L 1454 $71,835
🏛 Politics 63.7% 643W/367L 624 $50,628
⚽ Sports 88.2% 253W/34L 402 $27,709
🎬 Culture 79.5% 416W/107L 300 $20,760
💵 Economy 60.6% 258W/168L 233 $24,938
🤖 Tech 45.4% 54W/65L 79 $4,362
₿ Crypto 62.5% 25W/15L 49 $1,421
🔬 Science 30 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week? Yes 214 0.147 $31.52 $18.12 +135.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? No 30 0.999 $29.96 $0.13 +0.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? No 30 0.999 $29.96 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? No 30 0.999 $29.95 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? No 30 0.996 $29.88 $-0.03 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? No 30 0.996 $29.87 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #2 song this week? Yes 219 0.095 $20.80 $7.12 +52.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 30 0.686 $20.58 $0.34 +1.7%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 30 0.315 $9.45 $-1.76 -15.7%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.285 $9.28 $7.93 +583.8%
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? Yes 231 0.025 $5.66 $-8.78 -60.8%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 43 0.115 $4.90 $3.12 +176.0%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 10 0.430 $4.30 $2.30 +115.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 4 0.785 $3.17 $3.05 +2569.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 3 0.915 $2.96 $2.85 +2644.9%
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? Yes 3 0.984 $2.71 $2.63 +3048.7%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 3 0.845 $2.66 $2.40 +914.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.034 $2.51 $0.24 +10.5%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? Yes 2 0.950 $2.30 $2.14 +1419.9%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 2 0.885 $2.15 $1.66 +342.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes 3 0.600 $2.01 $1.59 +380.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.026 $1.95 $-0.32 -14.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3 0.645 $1.94 $1.84 +1964.0%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 4 0.460 $1.86 $1.72 +1234.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.987 $1.85 $1.82 +5029.6%