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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$21
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$34
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
6W / 1L · 99 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
63W / 40L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
106
across 43 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$5.19
avg win $2 · loss $26
Profit Factor
0.20
$5 won / $26 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $393,880 · all-time $5,759,690

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 80.6% 35,567W/8,545L 13392 $1,006,653
🌤 Weather 91.7% 3,822W/347L 1576 $75,271
🏛 Politics 51.3% 581W/552L 654 $47,667
⚽ Sports 87.3% 247W/36L 393 $33,173
🎬 Culture 79.8% 347W/88L 286 $19,969
💵 Economy 64.4% 150W/83L 241 $21,953
🤖 Tech 38.7% 29W/46L 97 $6,129
₿ Crypto 61.5% 24W/15L 45 $1,308
🔬 Science 23 $832

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No 10 0.996 $9.96 $-0.02 -0.2%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.285 $9.28 $7.93 +583.8%
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No 10 0.876 $8.76 $0.07 +0.8%
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? Yes 231 0.029 $6.70 $-7.74 -53.6%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 43 0.115 $4.90 $3.12 +176.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.059 $4.46 $2.19 +96.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 7? Yes 5 0.890 $4.21 $3.78 +879.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 4 0.835 $3.37 $3.25 +2739.0%
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? Yes 105 0.030 $3.20 $1.29 +67.8%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 3 0.915 $2.96 $2.85 +2644.9%
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? Yes 3 0.971 $2.68 $2.59 +3005.4%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 3 0.845 $2.66 $2.40 +914.0%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? Yes 2 0.981 $2.37 $2.22 +1468.7%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 2 0.885 $2.15 $1.66 +342.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? Yes 3,926 0.001 $1.96 $-204.69 -99.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes 3 0.585 $1.96 $1.54 +368.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3 0.645 $1.94 $1.84 +1964.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.988 $1.85 $1.82 +5034.9%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 7? Yes 3 0.535 $1.81 $1.50 +488.5%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.965 $1.76 $1.72 +5012.0%
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes 4 0.435 $1.64 $1.47 +857.0%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes 4 0.385 $1.59 $0.90 +131.0%
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.465 $1.55 $1.37 +783.4%
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? Yes 3 0.445 $1.54 $1.19 +345.0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6? Yes 2 1.000 $1.53 $1.39 +999.4%