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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,501
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$73
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
1,017W / 300L · 372 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
1,209W / 469L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
1,689
across 216 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$13.64
avg win $8 · loss $192
Profit Factor
0.35
$800 won / $2,300 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$598
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $311,886 · all-time $5,677,695

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.7% 38,743W/8,707L 13667 $1,099,778
🌤 Weather 90.7% 3,691W/379L 1464 $71,919
🏛 Politics 63.7% 643W/367L 624 $50,628
⚽ Sports 88.2% 253W/34L 402 $27,709
🎬 Culture 79.5% 416W/107L 300 $20,760
💵 Economy 60.6% 258W/168L 233 $24,938
🤖 Tech 45.4% 54W/65L 79 $4,362
₿ Crypto 62.5% 25W/15L 49 $1,421
🔬 Science 30 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 6? No 40 0.998 $39.90 $39.90 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 6? No 40 0.996 $39.82 $39.82 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 73°F or below on August 6? No 40 0.995 $39.78 $-0.10 -0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 6? No 40 0.994 $39.74 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 6? No 40 0.965 $38.60 $-0.59 -1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 6? No 40 0.955 $38.20 $1.00 +2.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 6? No 40 0.775 $31.00 $-0.20 -0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 6? No 40 0.715 $28.60 $-0.20 -0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 6? No 40 0.555 $22.20 $22.20 +0.0%
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week? Yes 214 0.100 $21.33 $7.93 +59.2%
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #2 song this week? Yes 219 0.095 $20.80 $7.12 +52.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.285 $9.28 $7.93 +583.8%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No 10 0.815 $8.15 $0.05 +0.6%
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? Yes 231 0.026 $6.01 $-8.43 -58.4%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 43 0.115 $4.90 $3.12 +176.0%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 10 0.420 $4.20 $2.20 +110.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 4 0.785 $3.17 $3.05 +2569.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.041 $3.08 $0.80 +35.3%
Will Tencent be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 9 0.325 $2.98 $2.71 +1005.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 3 0.915 $2.96 $2.85 +2644.9%
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? Yes 3 0.984 $2.71 $2.63 +3048.7%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 3 0.845 $2.66 $2.40 +914.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.034 $2.51 $0.24 +10.5%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? Yes 2 0.950 $2.30 $2.14 +1419.9%
Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament Yes 3 0.820 $2.23 $2.09 +1539.9%