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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
PnL (30d)
+$5,979
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$777
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
82%
38,723W / 8,703L · 15,343 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
46,242W / 15,490L · 1,037 open
Trades (30d)
62,769
across 13,657 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$0.63
avg win $11 · loss $64
Profit Factor
1.07
$87,208 won / $81,234 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,259
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $302,179 · all-time $5,667,988

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.6% 38,723W/8,703L 13657 $1,099,694
🌤 Weather 90.7% 3,691W/377L 1454 $71,835
🏛 Politics 63.7% 643W/367L 624 $50,628
⚽ Sports 88.0% 250W/34L 402 $27,709
🎬 Culture 79.5% 416W/107L 300 $20,760
💵 Economy 60.6% 258W/168L 233 $24,938
🤖 Tech 45.4% 54W/65L 79 $4,362
₿ Crypto 62.5% 25W/15L 49 $1,421
🔬 Science 30 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? Yes 231 0.116 $26.69 $12.25 +84.8%
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #2 song this week? Yes 219 0.095 $20.80 $7.12 +52.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.295 $9.61 $8.26 +608.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? No 10 0.905 $9.05 $0.50 +5.9%
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #2 song this week? Yes 214 0.033 $6.97 $-6.43 -48.0%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 43 0.115 $4.90 $3.12 +176.0%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 10 0.445 $4.45 $2.45 +122.5%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 4 0.775 $3.13 $3.01 +2535.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 3 0.915 $2.96 $2.85 +2644.9%
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? Yes 3 0.984 $2.71 $2.63 +3048.7%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 3 0.845 $2.66 $2.40 +914.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27? Yes 67 0.039 $2.60 $0.58 +28.7%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? Yes 2 0.950 $2.30 $2.14 +1419.9%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 2 0.885 $2.15 $1.66 +342.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes 3 0.600 $2.01 $1.59 +380.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.026 $1.99 $-0.29 -12.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3 0.645 $1.94 $1.84 +1964.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.987 $1.85 $1.82 +5029.6%
Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament Yes 3 0.680 $1.85 $1.71 +1259.9%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? Yes 3 0.720 $1.81 $1.58 +692.0%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 4 0.445 $1.80 $1.66 +1190.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 2 0.992 $1.77 $1.68 +1883.9%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.966 $1.76 $1.73 +5019.8%
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.525 $1.75 $1.57 +897.4%
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? Yes 2 0.805 $1.61 $0.94 +141.5%