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Trader leaderboard/mildwindow27

mildwindow27

0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$533
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$234
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
88%
3,132W / 426L · 1,956 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
4,131W / 1,325L · 58 open
Trades (30d)
5,514
across 1,058 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.03
avg win $16 · loss $160
Profit Factor
0.93
$7,289 won / $7,822 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$504
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $303,431 · all-time $5,669,240

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.6% 38,723W/8,703L 13657 $1,099,694
🌤 Weather 90.7% 3,691W/377L 1454 $71,835
🏛 Politics 63.7% 643W/367L 624 $50,628
⚽ Sports 88.0% 250W/34L 402 $27,709
🎬 Culture 79.5% 416W/107L 300 $20,760
💵 Economy 60.6% 258W/168L 233 $24,938
🤖 Tech 45.4% 54W/65L 79 $4,362
₿ Crypto 62.5% 25W/15L 49 $1,421
🔬 Science 30 $1,059

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? No 80 0.999 $79.89 $-0.04 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? No 80 0.999 $79.88 $-0.03 -0.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? No 80 0.997 $79.73 $0.26 +0.3%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? No 80 0.995 $79.60 $0.18 +0.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? No 80 0.995 $79.56 $-0.02 -0.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 80 0.679 $54.36 $0.46 +0.9%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 80 0.315 $25.20 $-5.27 -17.3%
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #2 song this week? Yes 219 0.095 $20.80 $7.12 +52.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 33 0.285 $9.28 $7.93 +583.8%
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? Yes 231 0.026 $6.01 $-8.43 -58.4%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 43 0.115 $4.90 $3.12 +176.0%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 10 0.435 $4.35 $2.35 +117.5%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 4 0.775 $3.13 $3.01 +2535.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 3 0.915 $2.96 $2.85 +2644.9%
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? Yes 3 0.984 $2.71 $2.63 +3047.0%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 3 0.845 $2.66 $2.40 +914.0%
Will Jalen Duren play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? Yes 75 0.034 $2.55 $0.28 +12.2%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? Yes 2 0.950 $2.30 $2.14 +1419.9%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 2 0.885 $2.15 $1.66 +342.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes 3 0.600 $2.01 $1.59 +380.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3 0.645 $1.94 $1.84 +1964.0%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 4 0.460 $1.86 $1.72 +1234.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.987 $1.85 $1.82 +5029.6%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? Yes 3 0.705 $1.77 $1.54 +675.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 2 0.992 $1.77 $1.68 +1882.9%