PnL (30d)

−$420

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$34

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

330W / 84L · 183 open

Win Return (30d)

68%

404W / 186L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

597

across 150 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$6.27

avg win $3 · loss $43

Profit Factor

0.26

$145 won / $565 lost

Reward / Risk

0.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$44

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 15,150W/1,952L	7906	$497,575
🌤 Weather	94.9% 688W/37L	428	$12,606
🏛 Politics	55.6% 65W/52L	247	$14,350
⚽ Sports	76.7% 23W/7L	240	$7,094
🎬 Culture	77.0% 67W/20L	132	$3,085
💵 Economy	46.1% 41W/48L	69	$2,713
🤖 Tech	34.6% 9W/17L	60	$3,353
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	12	$120
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	8	$72

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Milwaukee Bucks?	Yes	85	0.446	$37.87	$35.29	+1370.1%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New Orleans Pelicans?	Yes	85	0.445	$37.83	$35.25	+1368.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be San Antonio Spurs?	Yes	85	0.420	$35.70	$33.12	+1286.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Minnesota Timberwolves?	Yes	85	0.420	$35.70	$33.12	+1286.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	85	0.415	$35.27	$32.70	+1269.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New York Knicks?	Yes	85	0.393	$33.41	$30.83	+1196.9%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Portland Trail Blazers?	Yes	85	0.363	$30.90	$28.32	+1099.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Chicago Bulls?	Yes	85	0.357	$30.39	$27.81	+1079.7%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Cleveland Cavaliers?	Yes	85	0.354	$30.09	$27.51	+1068.2%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	85	0.220	$18.70	$16.12	+626.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Sacramento Kings?	Yes	85	0.160	$13.60	$11.02	+428.0%
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	50	0.175	$8.77	$7.21	+461.6%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Dallas Mavericks?	Yes	24	0.260	$6.24	$5.51	+758.0%
Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.306	$5.95	$5.78	+3302.1%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.306	$5.95	$5.78	+3302.1%
Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.301	$5.84	$5.67	+3241.0%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.297	$5.77	$5.59	+3196.6%
Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.295	$5.73	$5.55	+3174.4%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.290	$5.63	$5.46	+3119.0%
Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.277	$5.37	$5.19	+2969.1%
Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.274	$5.32	$5.15	+2941.4%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	300	0.018	$5.25	$-2.64	-33.5%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.270	$5.23	$5.06	+2891.4%
Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	268	0.018	$4.68	$-2.36	-33.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	10	0.445	$4.45	$3.54	+389.5%