PnL (30d)

−$7

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

77%

41W / 12L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

45W / 14L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

60

across 44 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.18

avg win $1 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.84

$38 won / $45 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 15,147W/1,949L	7902	$497,410
🌤 Weather	94.9% 688W/37L	425	$12,453
🏛 Politics	55.6% 65W/52L	247	$14,350
⚽ Sports	76.7% 23W/7L	240	$7,094
🎬 Culture	77.0% 67W/20L	132	$3,085
💵 Economy	46.1% 41W/48L	69	$2,713
🤖 Tech	34.6% 9W/17L	60	$3,353
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	12	$120
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	8	$72

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Chicago Bulls?	Yes	85	0.470	$39.99	$37.42	+1452.6%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Cleveland Cavaliers?	Yes	85	0.469	$39.86	$37.29	+1447.7%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Portland Trail Blazers?	Yes	85	0.465	$39.48	$36.91	+1432.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Milwaukee Bucks?	Yes	85	0.462	$39.23	$36.65	+1422.9%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New York Knicks?	Yes	85	0.449	$38.16	$35.59	+1381.7%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New Orleans Pelicans?	Yes	85	0.445	$37.83	$35.25	+1368.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Sacramento Kings?	Yes	85	0.430	$36.55	$33.97	+1319.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	85	0.420	$35.70	$33.12	+1286.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be San Antonio Spurs?	Yes	85	0.420	$35.70	$33.12	+1286.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Minnesota Timberwolves?	Yes	85	0.420	$35.70	$33.12	+1286.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	85	0.220	$18.70	$16.12	+626.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Dallas Mavericks?	Yes	24	0.350	$8.40	$7.67	+1055.0%
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	9	0.895	$8.05	$0.49	+6.5%
Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.325	$6.31	$6.14	+3507.5%
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.312	$6.06	$5.88	+3363.1%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.305	$5.93	$5.76	+3291.0%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.297	$5.77	$5.59	+3196.6%
Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.294	$5.71	$5.53	+3163.3%
Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.287	$5.57	$5.40	+3085.6%
Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.285	$5.53	$5.36	+3062.3%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.279	$5.41	$5.23	+2991.3%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	300	0.018	$5.25	$-2.64	-33.5%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.270	$5.23	$5.06	+2891.4%
Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	268	0.018	$4.68	$-2.36	-33.5%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4	0.977	$3.69	$3.58	+3221.8%