PnL (30d)

+$783

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$342

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

3,035W / 391L · 1,974 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

3,907W / 1,415L · 78 open

Trades (30d)

5,400

across 952 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$1.73

avg win $22 · loss $193

Profit Factor

1.09

$9,068 won / $8,285 lost

Reward / Risk

0.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$71

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 15,120W/1,949L	7900	$497,320
🌤 Weather	94.9% 688W/37L	425	$12,453
🏛 Politics	55.6% 65W/52L	247	$14,350
⚽ Sports	75.0% 21W/7L	240	$7,094
🎬 Culture	77.0% 67W/20L	132	$3,085
💵 Economy	46.1% 41W/48L	68	$2,706
🤖 Tech	34.6% 9W/17L	59	$3,346
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	12	$120
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	8	$72

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Milwaukee Bucks?	Yes	85	0.447	$37.99	$35.42	+1375.1%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New Orleans Pelicans?	Yes	85	0.446	$37.91	$35.33	+1371.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Sacramento Kings?	Yes	85	0.440	$37.40	$34.82	+1352.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Portland Trail Blazers?	Yes	85	0.437	$37.15	$34.57	+1342.1%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be San Antonio Spurs?	Yes	85	0.435	$36.98	$34.40	+1335.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	85	0.430	$36.55	$33.97	+1319.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Chicago Bulls?	Yes	85	0.403	$34.21	$31.64	+1228.2%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New York Knicks?	Yes	85	0.395	$33.58	$31.00	+1203.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Cleveland Cavaliers?	Yes	85	0.395	$33.53	$30.96	+1201.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Minnesota Timberwolves?	Yes	85	0.370	$31.45	$28.87	+1121.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	85	0.220	$18.70	$16.12	+626.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Dallas Mavericks?	Yes	24	0.425	$10.20	$9.47	+1302.5%
Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.422	$8.20	$8.03	+4589.7%
Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.327	$6.35	$6.17	+3529.6%
Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.322	$6.25	$6.08	+3474.1%
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.313	$6.08	$5.90	+3374.3%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.305	$5.93	$5.76	+3291.0%
Will Donovan Pines win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.297	$5.78	$5.60	+3202.2%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.297	$5.77	$5.59	+3196.6%
Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.293	$5.69	$5.51	+3152.2%
Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.288	$5.59	$5.42	+3096.7%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.286	$5.56	$5.39	+3079.0%
Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.282	$5.48	$5.31	+3034.6%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	300	0.018	$5.25	$-2.64	-33.5%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.270	$5.24	$5.07	+2896.9%