PnL (30d)

+$45

Science · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$56

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

9W / 2L · 41 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

27W / 23L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

52

across 30 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$4.99

avg win $7 · loss $1

Profit Factor

28.78

$47 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

8.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 15,152W/1,952L	7907	$497,604
🌤 Weather	94.9% 688W/37L	428	$12,606
🏛 Politics	55.6% 65W/52L	247	$14,350
⚽ Sports	76.7% 23W/7L	240	$7,094
🎬 Culture	77.0% 67W/20L	132	$3,085
💵 Economy	46.7% 42W/48L	69	$2,713
🤖 Tech	34.6% 9W/17L	60	$3,353
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	12	$120
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	8	$72

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Cleveland Cavaliers?	Yes	85	0.467	$39.70	$37.12	+1441.1%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Minnesota Timberwolves?	Yes	85	0.450	$38.25	$35.67	+1385.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New York Knicks?	Yes	85	0.444	$37.74	$35.16	+1365.2%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Milwaukee Bucks?	Yes	85	0.429	$36.46	$33.89	+1315.7%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be San Antonio Spurs?	Yes	85	0.415	$35.27	$32.70	+1269.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New Orleans Pelicans?	Yes	85	0.392	$33.28	$30.70	+1191.9%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Chicago Bulls?	Yes	85	0.388	$32.94	$30.36	+1178.7%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	85	0.375	$31.88	$29.30	+1137.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	85	0.220	$18.70	$16.12	+626.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Sacramento Kings?	Yes	85	0.205	$17.43	$14.85	+576.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Portland Trail Blazers?	Yes	85	0.096	$8.16	$5.58	+216.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Dallas Mavericks?	Yes	24	0.325	$7.80	$7.07	+972.5%
Will Tim Parker win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.351	$6.83	$6.65	+3801.6%
Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.329	$6.39	$6.21	+3551.8%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.308	$5.98	$5.81	+3318.8%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.297	$5.77	$5.59	+3196.6%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.289	$5.61	$5.44	+3107.8%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	300	0.018	$5.25	$-2.64	-33.5%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.266	$5.16	$4.98	+2847.0%
Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	268	0.018	$4.68	$-2.36	-33.5%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4	0.977	$3.69	$3.58	+3221.8%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	Yes	3	0.988	$3.39	$2.70	+394.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	4	0.820	$3.36	$2.98	+802.0%
Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.162	$3.14	$2.96	+1692.6%
Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.161	$3.13	$2.95	+1687.0%