PnL (30d)

+$304

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$257

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

78%

627W / 179L · 1,867 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

1,463W / 1,161L · 49 open

Trades (30d)

2,673

across 678 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$1.65

avg win $6 · loss $23

Profit Factor

1.50

$913 won / $609 lost

Reward / Risk

0.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$111

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 15,147W/1,949L	7902	$497,410
🌤 Weather	94.9% 688W/37L	425	$12,453
🏛 Politics	55.6% 65W/52L	247	$14,350
⚽ Sports	76.7% 23W/7L	240	$7,094
🎬 Culture	77.0% 67W/20L	132	$3,085
💵 Economy	46.1% 41W/48L	69	$2,713
🤖 Tech	34.6% 9W/17L	60	$3,353
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	12	$120
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	8	$72

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Chicago Bulls?	Yes	85	0.467	$39.70	$37.12	+1441.1%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Portland Trail Blazers?	Yes	85	0.463	$39.35	$36.78	+1427.9%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Cleveland Cavaliers?	Yes	85	0.463	$39.31	$36.74	+1426.2%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Milwaukee Bucks?	Yes	85	0.457	$38.84	$36.27	+1408.1%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New Orleans Pelicans?	Yes	85	0.444	$37.74	$35.16	+1365.2%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New York Knicks?	Yes	85	0.444	$37.70	$35.12	+1363.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Sacramento Kings?	Yes	85	0.440	$37.40	$34.82	+1352.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	85	0.430	$36.55	$33.97	+1319.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be San Antonio Spurs?	Yes	85	0.430	$36.55	$33.97	+1319.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Minnesota Timberwolves?	Yes	85	0.430	$36.55	$33.97	+1319.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	85	0.220	$18.70	$16.12	+626.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Dallas Mavericks?	Yes	24	0.330	$7.92	$7.19	+989.0%
Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.365	$7.09	$6.91	+3951.5%
Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.345	$6.70	$6.52	+3728.3%
Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.314	$6.10	$5.92	+3385.3%
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.310	$6.02	$5.84	+3340.9%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.306	$5.95	$5.78	+3302.1%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.296	$5.75	$5.57	+3185.6%
Will Donovan Pines win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.295	$5.73	$5.55	+3174.4%
Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.288	$5.59	$5.42	+3096.7%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.288	$5.59	$5.42	+3096.7%
Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.284	$5.52	$5.35	+3056.8%
Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.283	$5.49	$5.32	+3040.1%
Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.281	$5.46	$5.28	+3019.0%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	300	0.018	$5.25	$-2.64	-33.5%