PnL (30d)

+$2,297

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$331

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

15,120W / 1,949L · 6,937 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

18,055W / 5,457L · 494 open

Trades (30d)

24,006

across 7,900 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.41

avg win $5 · loss $39

Profit Factor

1.10

$26,050 won / $23,755 lost

Reward / Risk

0.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$258

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 15,120W/1,949L	7900	$497,320
🌤 Weather	94.9% 688W/37L	425	$12,453
🏛 Politics	55.6% 65W/52L	247	$14,350
⚽ Sports	75.0% 21W/7L	240	$7,094
🎬 Culture	77.0% 67W/20L	132	$3,085
💵 Economy	46.1% 41W/48L	68	$2,706
🤖 Tech	34.6% 9W/17L	59	$3,346
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	12	$120
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	8	$72

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	46	0.908	$42.10	$0.26	+0.6%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New Orleans Pelicans?	Yes	85	0.474	$40.33	$37.76	+1465.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Milwaukee Bucks?	Yes	85	0.471	$40.08	$37.50	+1455.9%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Chicago Bulls?	Yes	85	0.456	$38.72	$36.14	+1403.1%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New York Knicks?	Yes	85	0.455	$38.63	$36.06	+1399.8%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Cleveland Cavaliers?	Yes	85	0.451	$38.34	$35.76	+1388.3%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Minnesota Timberwolves?	Yes	85	0.445	$37.83	$35.25	+1368.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	85	0.440	$37.40	$34.82	+1352.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be San Antonio Spurs?	Yes	85	0.440	$37.40	$34.82	+1352.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Sacramento Kings?	Yes	85	0.440	$37.40	$34.82	+1352.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Portland Trail Blazers?	Yes	85	0.435	$36.98	$34.40	+1335.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	85	0.220	$18.70	$16.12	+626.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Dallas Mavericks?	Yes	24	0.390	$9.36	$8.63	+1187.0%
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.312	$6.07	$5.89	+3368.7%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.308	$5.98	$5.81	+3318.8%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.297	$5.77	$5.59	+3196.6%
Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.293	$5.70	$5.52	+3157.8%
Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.288	$5.60	$5.43	+3102.3%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.287	$5.58	$5.41	+3091.2%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	300	0.018	$5.25	$-2.64	-33.5%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.262	$5.09	$4.91	+2808.2%
Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	268	0.018	$4.68	$-2.36	-33.5%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	46	0.085	$3.91	$-2.53	-39.3%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4	0.977	$3.69	$3.58	+3221.8%
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	50	0.071	$3.57	$2.01	+128.5%