PnL (30d)

+$447

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$70

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

85%

364W / 66L · 312 open

Win Return (30d)

68%

486W / 233L · 23 open

Trades (30d)

742

across 353 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$2.38

avg win $6 · loss $15

Profit Factor

2.01

$891 won / $443 lost

Reward / Risk

0.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$45

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 15,150W/1,952L	7906	$497,575
🌤 Weather	94.9% 688W/37L	428	$12,606
🏛 Politics	55.6% 65W/52L	247	$14,350
⚽ Sports	76.7% 23W/7L	240	$7,094
🎬 Culture	77.0% 67W/20L	132	$3,085
💵 Economy	46.1% 41W/48L	69	$2,713
🤖 Tech	34.6% 9W/17L	60	$3,353
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	12	$120
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	8	$72

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New Orleans Pelicans?	Yes	85	0.433	$36.85	$34.27	+1330.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be San Antonio Spurs?	Yes	85	0.420	$35.70	$33.12	+1286.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Philadelphia 76ers?	Yes	85	0.410	$34.85	$32.27	+1253.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Minnesota Timberwolves?	Yes	85	0.405	$34.42	$31.85	+1236.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be New York Knicks?	Yes	85	0.389	$33.02	$30.45	+1182.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Milwaukee Bucks?	Yes	85	0.379	$32.22	$29.64	+1150.7%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Portland Trail Blazers?	Yes	85	0.342	$29.07	$26.49	+1028.6%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Cleveland Cavaliers?	Yes	85	0.333	$28.26	$25.69	+997.2%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Chicago Bulls?	Yes	85	0.324	$27.50	$24.92	+967.5%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	85	0.220	$18.70	$16.12	+626.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Sacramento Kings?	Yes	85	0.130	$11.05	$8.47	+329.0%
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Dallas Mavericks?	Yes	24	0.395	$9.48	$8.75	+1203.5%
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.303	$5.88	$5.71	+3263.2%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.298	$5.80	$5.62	+3213.3%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.296	$5.75	$5.57	+3185.6%
Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.288	$5.59	$5.42	+3096.7%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.284	$5.51	$5.34	+3051.2%
Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.280	$5.44	$5.26	+3007.9%
Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.276	$5.36	$5.18	+2963.5%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	300	0.018	$5.25	$-2.64	-33.5%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.270	$5.23	$5.06	+2891.4%
Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	268	0.018	$4.68	$-2.36	-33.5%
Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	19	0.236	$4.59	$4.42	+2525.1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	10	0.445	$4.45	$3.54	+389.5%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4	0.977	$3.69	$3.58	+3221.8%