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Trader leaderboard/flexer78

flexer78

0x9422f0e5a2c4358bdd2a901aa2a31f58e04ef273
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$68
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
73W / 35L · 78 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
138W / 47L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
186
across 77 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.10
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.84
$20 won / $24 lost
Reward / Risk
0.93
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $206,806 · all-time $8,732,844

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.6% 5,148W/6,941L 5521 $49,095
🎬 Culture 18.9% 33W/142L 164 $743
🏛 Politics 13.8% 12W/75L 153 $924
💵 Economy 19.2% 32W/135L 141 $661
🌤 Weather 22.4% 45W/156L 94 $135
⚽ Sports 30.4% 14W/32L 93 $577
₿ Crypto 62.8% 140W/83L 76 $1,831
🤖 Tech 44.0% 11W/14L 32 $125
🔬 Science 14.3% 1W/6L 11 $81

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 176 0.960 $169.22 $45.02 +36.2%
Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 3,671 0.016 $58.74 $-185.78 -76.0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 85 0.484 $41.19 $40.34 +4745.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 47 0.845 $39.71 $4.26 +12.0%
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? No 67 0.520 $34.74 $-5.18 -13.0%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%? Yes 30 0.970 $29.09 $28.18 +3131.7%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 28 0.998 $27.85 $15.85 +132.1%
Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.370 $24.98 $23.62 +1750.0%
Will Kristijan Kahlina win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.438 $23.49 $22.42 +2087.5%
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026? Yes 52 0.440 $22.90 $21.86 +2100.0%
Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.324 $21.84 $20.49 +1517.5%
Will Chris Brady win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.399 $21.40 $20.33 +1892.5%
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.316 $21.30 $19.95 +1477.5%
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? No 43 0.495 $21.21 $9.21 +76.8%
Will Big Brother episode not air? Yes 43 0.485 $21.02 $19.72 +1516.7%
Will Luis Barraza win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.378 $20.30 $19.22 +1790.0%
Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.300 $20.28 $18.93 +1402.5%
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? Yes 55 0.360 $19.78 $1.65 +9.1%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.291 $19.64 $18.29 +1355.0%
Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.288 $19.47 $18.12 +1342.5%
Will Tristan Blackmon win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.282 $19.03 $17.68 +1309.5%
Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.282 $19.03 $17.68 +1309.5%
Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.278 $18.73 $17.38 +1287.5%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 61 0.297 $18.02 $16.80 +1385.0%
Will Disney say "Valuation" during earnings call? No 22 0.805 $17.89 $5.89 +49.1%