Log in
Trader leaderboard/flexer78

flexer78

0x9422f0e5a2c4358bdd2a901aa2a31f58e04ef273
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$10
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$38
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
49W / 29L · 48 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
82W / 44L
Trades (30d)
126
across 41 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.50
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
2.11
$19 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
2.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $208,459 · all-time $8,735,568

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.6% 5,173W/6,975L 5521 $49,095
🎬 Culture 18.9% 33W/142L 164 $743
🏛 Politics 13.8% 12W/75L 153 $924
💵 Economy 19.2% 32W/135L 141 $661
🌤 Weather 22.4% 45W/156L 94 $135
⚽ Sports 30.4% 14W/32L 93 $577
₿ Crypto 62.2% 148W/90L 76 $1,831
🤖 Tech 44.0% 11W/14L 32 $125
🔬 Science 14.3% 1W/6L 11 $81

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 94 0.910 $85.52 $11.67 +15.8%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 85 0.484 $41.19 $40.34 +4745.0%
Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 3,671 0.009 $34.88 $-209.65 -85.7%
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? No 67 0.520 $34.74 $-5.18 -13.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 43 0.765 $32.74 $0.38 +1.2%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%? Yes 30 0.970 $29.09 $28.18 +3131.7%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 28 0.969 $27.04 $15.04 +125.3%
Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.351 $23.73 $22.38 +1657.5%
Will Kristijan Kahlina win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.441 $23.68 $22.61 +2105.0%
Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.347 $23.45 $22.10 +1637.0%
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026? Yes 52 0.425 $22.12 $21.08 +2025.0%
Will Chris Brady win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.402 $21.56 $20.49 +1907.5%
Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.314 $21.20 $19.84 +1470.0%
Will Big Brother episode not air? Yes 43 0.485 $21.02 $19.72 +1516.7%
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? No 43 0.485 $20.78 $8.78 +73.2%
Will Luis Barraza win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.378 $20.30 $19.22 +1790.0%
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? Yes 55 0.360 $19.78 $1.65 +9.1%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.289 $19.51 $18.16 +1345.0%
Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.283 $19.10 $17.75 +1314.5%
Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.275 $18.53 $17.18 +1272.5%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 61 0.297 $18.02 $16.80 +1385.0%
Will Disney say "Valuation" during earnings call? No 22 0.804 $17.88 $5.88 +49.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 2, 2026? No 17 0.986 $17.06 $10.66 +166.5%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 56 0.306 $17.00 $15.88 +1430.0%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026? No 19 0.870 $16.31 $4.31 +35.9%