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Trader leaderboard/flexer78

flexer78

0x9422f0e5a2c4358bdd2a901aa2a31f58e04ef273
PnL (30d)
−$545
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$287
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
5,148W / 6,940L · 4,336 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
7,341W / 8,624L · 459 open
Trades (30d)
16,424
across 5,521 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.14
avg win $3 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.87
$3,740 won / $4,285 lost
Reward / Risk
1.75
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$157
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $205,735 · all-time $8,732,844

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.6% 5,148W/6,940L 5521 $49,095
🎬 Culture 19.0% 33W/141L 164 $743
🏛 Politics 14.0% 12W/74L 153 $924
💵 Economy 19.2% 32W/135L 141 $661
🌤 Weather 22.4% 45W/156L 94 $135
⚽ Sports 30.4% 14W/32L 93 $577
₿ Crypto 62.8% 140W/83L 76 $1,831
🤖 Tech 44.0% 11W/14L 32 $125
🔬 Science 14.3% 1W/6L 11 $81

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 137 0.845 $115.94 $24.49 +26.8%
Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 3,671 0.014 $51.40 $-193.13 -79.0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 85 0.484 $41.19 $40.34 +4745.0%
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? No 67 0.525 $35.07 $-4.85 -12.1%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%? Yes 30 0.970 $29.09 $28.18 +3131.7%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 28 0.991 $27.66 $15.66 +130.5%
Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.378 $25.48 $24.13 +1787.5%
Will Kristijan Kahlina win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.440 $23.60 $22.53 +2097.5%
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026? Yes 52 0.435 $22.64 $21.60 +2075.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 27 0.795 $21.46 $0.41 +2.0%
Will Chris Brady win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.399 $21.43 $20.35 +1895.0%
Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.316 $21.33 $19.98 +1480.0%
Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.316 $21.30 $19.95 +1477.5%
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? No 43 0.495 $21.21 $9.21 +76.8%
Will Big Brother episode not air? Yes 43 0.485 $21.02 $19.72 +1516.7%
Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.307 $20.72 $19.37 +1435.0%
Will Luis Barraza win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.377 $20.24 $19.17 +1785.0%
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? Yes 55 0.360 $19.78 $1.65 +9.1%
Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 67 0.287 $19.23 $17.89 +1335.0%
Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.284 $19.16 $17.81 +1319.5%
Will Tristan Blackmon win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.283 $19.13 $17.78 +1317.0%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.282 $19.06 $17.71 +1312.0%
Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.282 $19.03 $17.68 +1309.5%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 61 0.297 $18.02 $16.80 +1385.0%
Will Disney say "Valuation" during earnings call? No 22 0.810 $18.00 $6.00 +50.0%