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Trader leaderboard/flexer78

flexer78

0x9422f0e5a2c4358bdd2a901aa2a31f58e04ef273
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$42
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
315W / 212L · 236 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
447W / 305L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
763
across 198 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.47
avg win $5 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.78
$147 won / $189 lost
Reward / Risk
1.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$64
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $208,459 · all-time $8,733,915

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.5% 5,150W/6,959L 5521 $49,095
🎬 Culture 18.9% 33W/142L 164 $743
🏛 Politics 13.8% 12W/75L 153 $924
💵 Economy 19.2% 32W/135L 141 $661
🌤 Weather 22.4% 45W/156L 94 $135
⚽ Sports 30.4% 14W/32L 93 $577
₿ Crypto 62.8% 140W/83L 76 $1,831
🤖 Tech 44.0% 11W/14L 32 $125
🔬 Science 14.3% 1W/6L 11 $81

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 85 0.484 $41.19 $40.34 +4745.0%
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? No 67 0.525 $35.07 $-4.85 -12.1%
Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 3,671 0.009 $34.88 $-209.65 -85.7%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%? Yes 30 0.970 $29.09 $28.18 +3131.7%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 28 0.963 $26.88 $14.88 +123.9%
Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.383 $25.82 $24.47 +1812.5%
Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.358 $24.20 $22.85 +1692.5%
Will Kristijan Kahlina win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.438 $23.49 $22.42 +2087.5%
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026? Yes 52 0.420 $21.86 $20.82 +2000.0%
Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.321 $21.67 $20.32 +1505.0%
Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.317 $21.36 $20.01 +1482.5%
Will Chris Brady win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.396 $21.24 $20.16 +1877.5%
Will Big Brother episode not air? Yes 43 0.485 $21.02 $19.72 +1516.7%
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? No 43 0.485 $20.78 $8.78 +73.2%
Will Luis Barraza win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes 54 0.377 $20.24 $19.17 +1785.0%
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? Yes 55 0.360 $19.78 $1.65 +9.1%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.289 $19.51 $18.16 +1345.0%
Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 68 0.282 $19.03 $17.68 +1309.5%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 61 0.297 $18.02 $16.80 +1385.0%
Will Disney say "Valuation" during earnings call? No 22 0.805 $17.89 $5.89 +49.1%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes 56 0.306 $17.02 $15.91 +1432.5%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 2, 2026? No 17 0.981 $16.97 $10.57 +165.1%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026? No 19 0.870 $16.31 $4.31 +35.9%
APYX FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 34 0.475 $15.95 $-1.17 -6.9%
Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" in August? Yes 20 0.780 $15.86 $3.86 +32.2%