PnL (30d)

−$769

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

76%

536W / 172L · 344 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

679W / 354L · 19 open

Trades (30d)

1,052

across 209 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$8.54

avg win $9 · loss $120

Profit Factor

0.47

$670 won / $1,439 lost

Reward / Risk

0.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$175

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.2% 40,454W/8,172L	14631	$1,196,181
🌤 Weather	92.9% 4,030W/310L	1583	$81,240
🏛 Politics	86.6% 575W/89L	504	$43,059
⚽ Sports	89.4% 161W/19L	366	$24,767
🎬 Culture	85.3% 448W/77L	325	$22,693
💵 Economy	90.1% 302W/33L	229	$24,000
🤖 Tech	66.0% 31W/16L	92	$4,291
₿ Crypto	84.0% 21W/4L	46	$798
🔬 Science	100.0% 4W/0L	24	$850

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	5	0.983	$4.47	$4.28	+2159.7%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	4	0.855	$3.58	$3.41	+2037.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	4	0.845	$3.44	$3.30	+2350.5%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	8	0.395	$3.16	$2.92	+1203.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3	0.875	$2.87	$2.77	+2699.9%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4	0.675	$2.79	$2.67	+2195.0%
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	Yes	3	0.977	$2.48	$2.34	+1658.5%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	4	0.585	$2.19	$1.44	+192.5%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.630	$2.10	$1.80	+593.0%
Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	75	0.027	$2.02	$1.10	+118.7%
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	30	0.065	$1.94	$0.06	+3.2%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	2	0.986	$1.93	$1.53	+393.0%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	2	0.910	$1.88	$1.85	+6633.9%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	2	0.984	$1.83	$1.78	+3440.6%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	2	0.970	$1.83	$1.79	+5041.2%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	2	0.835	$1.81	$1.70	+1485.5%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2	0.935	$1.73	$1.67	+2892.0%
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?	Yes	2	0.795	$1.59	$1.52	+2205.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3	0.539	$1.52	$1.49	+4701.6%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	10	0.147	$1.47	$1.15	+357.2%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	2	0.798	$1.38	$1.14	+458.9%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	3	0.430	$1.35	$1.26	+1275.9%
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	2	0.555	$1.35	$1.23	+954.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.455	$1.34	$1.23	+1082.9%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4	0.325	$1.33	$0.96	+257.5%