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0x28bf066c6cb952da62d6d182c16ad173ada64a4e
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$374
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$157
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
1,235W / 340L · 1,238 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
1,874W / 891L · 48 open
Trades (30d)
2,813
across 390 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$2.03
avg win $14 · loss $70
Profit Factor
1.20
$2,269 won / $1,895 lost
Reward / Risk
0.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$80
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $291,464 · all-time $5,476,814

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 83.2% 40,454W/8,172L 14632 $1,196,317
🌤 Weather 92.9% 4,030W/310L 1583 $81,240
🏛 Politics 86.6% 575W/89L 504 $43,059
⚽ Sports 89.4% 161W/19L 366 $24,767
🎬 Culture 85.3% 448W/77L 326 $22,830
💵 Economy 90.1% 302W/33L 229 $24,000
🤖 Tech 66.0% 31W/16L 92 $4,291
₿ Crypto 84.0% 21W/4L 46 $798
🔬 Science 100.0% 4W/0L 24 $850

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will George Pickens play for Arizona Cardinals in 2026-27? Yes 30 0.466 $14.07 $13.16 +1437.8%
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes 30 0.361 $10.83 $8.96 +477.6%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 5 0.983 $4.47 $4.28 +2159.7%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 4 0.855 $3.58 $3.41 +2037.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 4 0.845 $3.44 $3.30 +2350.5%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? Yes 8 0.395 $3.16 $2.92 +1203.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3 0.875 $2.87 $2.77 +2699.9%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 4 0.675 $2.79 $2.67 +2195.0%
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? Yes 3 0.977 $2.48 $2.34 +1658.5%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 4 0.585 $2.19 $1.44 +192.5%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 3 0.630 $2.10 $1.80 +593.0%
Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 75 0.027 $2.02 $1.10 +118.7%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? Yes 2 0.986 $1.92 $1.53 +392.7%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 2 0.910 $1.88 $1.85 +6633.9%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.973 $1.83 $1.80 +5056.9%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.843 $1.83 $1.72 +1501.6%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 2 0.984 $1.83 $1.78 +3440.6%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 2 0.935 $1.73 $1.67 +2892.0%
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? Yes 2 0.795 $1.59 $1.52 +2205.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 3 0.539 $1.52 $1.49 +4701.6%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 10 0.147 $1.47 $1.15 +357.2%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 2 0.799 $1.39 $1.14 +459.6%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 3 0.430 $1.35 $1.26 +1275.9%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 4 0.330 $1.35 $0.98 +263.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 3 0.455 $1.34 $1.23 +1082.9%