PnL (30d)

−$424

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$267

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

87%

4,745W / 725L · 2,695 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

6,424W / 1,651L · 90 open

Trades (30d)

8,165

across 981 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$0.96

avg win $32 · loss $244

Profit Factor

0.97

$12,490 won / $12,915 lost

Reward / Risk

0.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$300

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.2% 40,435W/8,166L	14614	$1,195,477
🌤 Weather	92.9% 4,030W/309L	1572	$80,914
🏛 Politics	86.6% 575W/89L	504	$43,059
⚽ Sports	89.4% 161W/19L	366	$24,767
🎬 Culture	85.3% 448W/77L	325	$22,693
💵 Economy	90.7% 302W/31L	229	$24,000
🤖 Tech	66.0% 31W/16L	92	$4,291
₿ Crypto	84.0% 21W/4L	46	$798
🔬 Science	100.0% 4W/0L	24	$850

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	10	0.886	$8.63	$7.88	+1052.4%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	5	0.980	$4.46	$4.26	+2152.8%
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	30	0.138	$4.12	$2.25	+120.0%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	4	0.850	$3.56	$3.39	+2025.0%
Will Bradley Beal play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	8	0.445	$3.56	$3.32	+1368.5%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	8	0.440	$3.52	$3.28	+1352.0%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	8	0.435	$3.48	$3.24	+1335.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	4	0.835	$3.40	$3.26	+2320.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4	0.675	$2.79	$2.67	+2195.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3	0.845	$2.77	$2.67	+2603.9%
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	Yes	3	0.977	$2.48	$2.34	+1658.5%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	4	0.605	$2.27	$1.52	+202.5%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4	0.485	$1.98	$1.61	+433.5%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.580	$1.93	$1.63	+537.9%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	2	0.977	$1.91	$1.52	+388.5%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	2	0.915	$1.89	$1.87	+6671.1%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	2	0.983	$1.83	$1.78	+3436.9%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	2	0.966	$1.82	$1.79	+5019.8%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	2	0.836	$1.82	$1.70	+1487.4%
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	Yes	7	0.265	$1.76	$1.35	+324.0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2	0.935	$1.73	$1.67	+2892.0%
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?	Yes	2	0.795	$1.59	$1.52	+2205.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3	0.539	$1.52	$1.49	+4701.6%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	10	0.147	$1.47	$1.15	+357.2%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 15?	Yes	36	0.040	$1.44	$-0.81	-36.0%