PnL (30d)

+$5,257

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$881

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

40,352W / 8,129L · 13,648 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

47,278W / 13,736L · 1,115 open

Trades (30d)

62,129

across 14,406 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.51

avg win $9 · loss $54

Profit Factor

1.07

$83,401 won / $78,150 lost

Reward / Risk

0.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,477

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.2% 40,352W/8,129L	14406	$1,178,016
🌤 Weather	93.0% 4,320W/323L	1606	$83,805
🏛 Politics	88.5% 639W/83L	510	$44,231
⚽ Sports	88.6% 164W/21L	365	$23,206
🎬 Culture	84.7% 482W/87L	328	$23,019
💵 Economy	90.3% 353W/38L	237	$25,136
🤖 Tech	68.6% 48W/22L	93	$5,030
₿ Crypto	84.6% 22W/4L	46	$799
🔬 Science	100.0% 4W/0L	24	$915

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	10	0.886	$8.63	$7.88	+1052.4%
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company?	Yes	30	0.195	$5.83	$3.96	+211.2%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	5	0.979	$4.46	$4.26	+2151.7%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4?	Yes	4	1.000	$3.60	$3.27	+999.4%
Will Bradley Beal play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	8	0.445	$3.56	$3.32	+1368.5%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	8	0.440	$3.52	$3.28	+1352.0%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	4	0.840	$3.52	$3.35	+2000.0%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	8	0.435	$3.48	$3.24	+1335.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	4	0.854	$3.48	$3.33	+2375.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4	0.675	$2.79	$2.67	+2195.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3	0.845	$2.77	$2.67	+2603.9%
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	Yes	3	0.977	$2.48	$2.34	+1657.6%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	4	0.630	$2.36	$1.61	+215.0%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.580	$1.93	$1.63	+537.9%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	2	0.986	$1.92	$1.53	+392.7%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	2	0.915	$1.89	$1.87	+6671.1%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4	0.455	$1.86	$1.49	+400.5%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	2	0.983	$1.83	$1.78	+3436.9%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	2	0.966	$1.82	$1.79	+5019.8%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	2	0.836	$1.82	$1.70	+1487.4%
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	Yes	7	0.265	$1.76	$1.35	+324.0%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	10	0.175	$1.75	$0.84	+92.5%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2	0.935	$1.73	$1.67	+2892.0%
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?	Yes	2	0.795	$1.59	$1.52	+2205.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	3	0.535	$1.51	$1.48	+4666.0%