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Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$27
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$160
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
76%
16W / 5L · 101 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
77W / 44L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
122
across 43 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$2.24
avg win $3 · loss $2
Profit Factor
6.96
$31 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
1.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $277,936 · all-time $5,463,285

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 83.2% 40,435W/8,164L 14614 $1,195,477
🌤 Weather 93.1% 4,358W/323L 1664 $87,025
🏛 Politics 86.0% 641W/104L 531 $45,578
⚽ Sports 88.6% 164W/21L 370 $25,559
🎬 Culture 84.7% 482W/87L 339 $23,772
💵 Economy 90.3% 353W/38L 244 $26,030
🤖 Tech 68.6% 48W/22L 94 $5,075
₿ Crypto 84.6% 22W/4L 48 $838
🔬 Science 100.0% 4W/0L 25 $959

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 10 0.886 $8.63 $7.88 +1052.4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 50 0.165 $8.25 $-8.40 -50.4%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on August 6? No 5 0.998 $5.41 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 5 0.980 $4.46 $4.26 +2152.8%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4? Yes 4 1.000 $3.60 $3.27 +999.4%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? Yes 8 0.445 $3.56 $3.32 +1368.5%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 4 0.845 $3.54 $3.37 +2012.4%
Will Bradley Beal play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? Yes 8 0.435 $3.48 $3.24 +1335.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 4 0.850 $3.46 $3.32 +2365.0%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? Yes 8 0.425 $3.40 $3.16 +1302.5%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 4 0.675 $2.79 $2.67 +2195.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3 0.845 $2.77 $2.67 +2603.9%
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? Yes 3 0.977 $2.48 $2.34 +1657.6%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 4 0.600 $2.25 $1.50 +200.0%
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes 30 0.068 $2.04 $0.17 +8.8%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 3 0.580 $1.93 $1.63 +537.9%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? Yes 2 0.986 $1.93 $1.53 +393.0%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 2 0.915 $1.89 $1.87 +6671.1%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 2 0.983 $1.83 $1.78 +3436.9%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.966 $1.82 $1.79 +5019.8%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.835 $1.82 $1.70 +1486.4%
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? Yes 7 0.265 $1.76 $1.35 +324.0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 2 0.935 $1.73 $1.67 +2892.0%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 4 0.390 $1.60 $1.22 +329.0%
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? Yes 2 0.795 $1.59 $1.52 +2205.5%