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0x28bf066c6cb952da62d6d182c16ad173ada64a4e
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$80
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
85W / 29L · 37 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
96W / 38L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
151
across 104 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.11
avg win $2 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.56
$100 won / $181 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $289,847 · all-time $5,472,407

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 83.2% 40,454W/8,171L 14631 $1,196,181
🌤 Weather 92.9% 4,030W/310L 1583 $81,240
🏛 Politics 86.6% 575W/89L 504 $43,059
⚽ Sports 89.4% 161W/19L 366 $24,767
🎬 Culture 85.3% 448W/77L 325 $22,693
💵 Economy 90.1% 302W/33L 229 $24,000
🤖 Tech 66.0% 31W/16L 92 $4,291
₿ Crypto 84.0% 21W/4L 46 $798
🔬 Science 100.0% 4W/0L 24 $850

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? No 50 0.996 $49.80 $0.28 +0.6%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? No 50 0.992 $49.60 $0.44 +0.9%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? No 50 0.835 $41.74 $-1.37 -3.2%
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes 30 0.311 $9.35 $7.47 +398.4%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 10 0.886 $8.63 $7.88 +1052.4%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? No 50 0.165 $8.25 $0.60 +7.8%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 5 0.983 $4.47 $4.28 +2159.7%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 4 0.850 $3.56 $3.39 +2025.0%
Will Bradley Beal play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? Yes 8 0.445 $3.56 $3.32 +1368.5%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? Yes 8 0.435 $3.48 $3.24 +1335.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 4 0.849 $3.45 $3.31 +2360.6%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? Yes 8 0.420 $3.36 $3.12 +1286.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3 0.875 $2.87 $2.77 +2699.9%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 4 0.675 $2.79 $2.67 +2195.0%
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? Yes 3 0.976 $2.48 $2.34 +1655.8%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 4 0.585 $2.19 $1.44 +192.5%
Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 75 0.027 $2.02 $1.10 +118.7%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 3 0.590 $1.97 $1.66 +549.0%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? Yes 2 0.985 $1.92 $1.53 +392.5%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 2 0.910 $1.88 $1.85 +6633.9%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 2 0.984 $1.83 $1.78 +3440.6%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 2 0.970 $1.83 $1.79 +5041.2%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.823 $1.79 $1.67 +1462.7%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 2 0.935 $1.73 $1.67 +2892.0%
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? Yes 2 0.795 $1.59 $1.52 +2205.5%