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Trader leaderboard/TeenagePanda

TeenagePanda

0x126ed8e132ba2005b3b7053bf7dd62febe5fc360
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$24
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$88
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
82W / 86L · 277 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
243W / 183L · 19 open
Trades (30d)
445
across 135 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.76
avg win $10 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.81
$104 won / $127 lost
Reward / Risk
1.71
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$36
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $58,738 · all-time $700,550

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.9% 2,654W/3,392L 2668 $47,188
💵 Economy 19.1% 65W/276L 217 $2,493
🏛 Politics 62.5% 85W/51L 171 $2,323
₿ Crypto 18.2% 51W/229L 103 $1,014
⚽ Sports 50.4% 65W/64L 84 $956
🎬 Culture 62.6% 67W/40L 83 $1,244
🤖 Tech 57.1% 16W/12L 60 $849
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 13 $182
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $80

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 200 0.424 $84.80 $82.80 +4140.0%
Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week? No 200 0.385 $77.00 $67.84 +740.6%
Will Trump post "Communist" on Truth Social this week? No 177 0.320 $56.48 $54.72 +3096.5%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 80 0.385 $30.80 $22.80 +285.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 70 0.364 $25.48 $15.37 +152.0%
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Yes 90 0.280 $25.17 $24.27 +2695.0%
Bayer Leverkusen to score first vs. FC Carl Zeiss Jena? Yes 54 0.447 $24.23 $23.68 +4365.0%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first vs. Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 50 0.449 $22.63 $22.13 +4385.0%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? No 49 0.455 $22.13 $16.78 +313.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 28 0.760 $21.28 $17.36 +442.9%
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? No 24 0.790 $19.02 $6.02 +46.3%
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? No 54 0.323 $17.36 $10.36 +148.1%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 18 0.958 $17.07 $4.07 +31.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 83 0.205 $16.99 $6.00 +54.5%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.699 $16.75 $9.76 +139.4%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 82 0.195 $16.08 $13.61 +550.0%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 27 0.589 $16.07 $2.07 +14.8%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No 49 0.323 $15.93 $7.93 +99.1%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.675 $15.67 $2.67 +20.5%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? No 69 0.220 $15.12 $9.62 +175.0%
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes 70 0.210 $14.70 $11.20 +320.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 117 0.125 $14.58 $13.41 +1150.0%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 16 0.902 $14.39 $5.39 +59.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 30 0.480 $14.27 $3.27 +29.7%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? No 44 0.326 $14.24 $10.74 +306.9%