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Trader leaderboard/TeenagePanda

TeenagePanda

0x126ed8e132ba2005b3b7053bf7dd62febe5fc360
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$210
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$87
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
316W / 601L · 614 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
626W / 843L · 62 open
Trades (30d)
1,531
across 473 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.81
avg win $4 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.64
$370 won / $580 lost
Reward / Risk
1.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$163
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $55,545 · all-time $697,358

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.9% 2,654W/3,390L 2668 $47,188
💵 Economy 19.1% 65W/276L 217 $2,493
🏛 Politics 62.5% 85W/51L 171 $2,323
₿ Crypto 18.2% 51W/229L 103 $1,014
⚽ Sports 50.4% 65W/64L 84 $956
🎬 Culture 62.6% 67W/40L 83 $1,244
🤖 Tech 57.1% 16W/12L 60 $849
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 13 $182
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $80

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 200 0.443 $88.60 $86.60 +4330.0%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 80 0.390 $31.20 $23.20 +290.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 70 0.361 $25.30 $15.19 +150.3%
Bayer Leverkusen to score first vs. FC Carl Zeiss Jena? Yes 54 0.448 $24.28 $23.74 +4375.0%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first vs. Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 50 0.449 $22.63 $22.13 +4385.0%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? No 49 0.455 $22.13 $16.78 +313.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 28 0.780 $21.84 $17.92 +457.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 83 0.223 $18.40 $7.40 +67.3%
Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 100 0.181 $18.15 $6.15 +51.2%
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? No 54 0.333 $17.93 $10.93 +156.2%
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? No 24 0.740 $17.81 $4.81 +37.0%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 82 0.213 $17.57 $15.09 +610.0%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 18 0.958 $17.07 $4.07 +31.3%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.700 $16.77 $9.77 +139.6%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 27 0.591 $16.11 $2.11 +15.1%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.680 $15.78 $2.79 +21.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? No 69 0.220 $15.12 $9.62 +175.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 117 0.126 $14.64 $13.47 +1155.0%
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 39 0.365 $14.34 $3.34 +30.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 30 0.480 $14.27 $3.27 +29.7%
Will Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? Yes 250 0.057 $14.25 $10.75 +307.1%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes 500 0.029 $14.25 $11.48 +414.9%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 22 0.640 $14.22 $6.22 +77.8%
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Yes 90 0.158 $14.19 $13.29 +1475.0%
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5) ACF Fiorentina 28 0.505 $14.09 $2.09 +17.4%