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Trader leaderboard/TeenagePanda

TeenagePanda

0x126ed8e132ba2005b3b7053bf7dd62febe5fc360
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$14
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$170
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
244W / 386L · 113 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
283W / 408L · 52 open
Trades (30d)
743
across 225 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.08
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.93
$200 won / $214 lost
Reward / Risk
1.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$20
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $55,223 · all-time $696,819

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.9% 2,654W/3,390L 2668 $47,188
💵 Economy 19.1% 73W/310L 246 $2,836
🏛 Politics 59.6% 87W/59L 187 $2,504
₿ Crypto 17.1% 51W/248L 114 $1,107
⚽ Sports 53.5% 77W/67L 89 $1,018
🎬 Culture 61.8% 68W/42L 86 $1,273
🤖 Tech 48.5% 16W/17L 65 $943
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 13 $182
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $80

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 200 0.460 $92.00 $90.00 +4500.0%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 80 0.385 $30.80 $22.80 +285.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 70 0.363 $25.45 $15.33 +151.7%
Bayer Leverkusen to score first vs. FC Carl Zeiss Jena? Yes 54 0.449 $24.34 $23.79 +4385.0%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first vs. Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 50 0.449 $22.63 $22.13 +4385.0%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? No 49 0.455 $22.13 $16.78 +313.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 28 0.785 $21.98 $18.06 +460.7%
Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 100 0.205 $20.55 $8.55 +71.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 83 0.242 $20.05 $9.06 +82.3%
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? No 54 0.334 $17.96 $10.96 +156.5%
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? No 24 0.725 $17.45 $4.45 +34.3%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 18 0.958 $17.07 $4.07 +31.3%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.700 $16.77 $9.77 +139.6%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 82 0.203 $16.74 $14.27 +576.7%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 27 0.591 $16.11 $2.11 +15.1%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.690 $16.01 $3.01 +23.2%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? Yes 41 0.374 $15.20 $4.20 +38.2%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $137.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 20 0.760 $15.20 $5.00 +49.0%
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 24 0.620 $14.92 $1.93 +14.8%
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 39 0.370 $14.53 $3.54 +32.1%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 117 0.124 $14.46 $13.30 +1140.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 18 0.805 $14.28 $3.28 +29.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 30 0.480 $14.27 $3.27 +29.7%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes 500 0.029 $14.25 $11.48 +414.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? No 69 0.205 $14.09 $8.59 +156.2%