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Trader leaderboard/TeenagePanda

TeenagePanda

0x126ed8e132ba2005b3b7053bf7dd62febe5fc360
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$37
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
10W / 8L · 38 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
40W / 16L
Trades (30d)
56
across 25 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.53
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.67
$10 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
0.84
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $64,918 · all-time $706,730

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.9% 2,659W/3,402L 2669 $47,198
💵 Economy 19.0% 65W/277L 217 $2,493
🏛 Politics 62.5% 85W/51L 171 $2,323
₿ Crypto 18.1% 51W/230L 103 $1,014
⚽ Sports 50.4% 65W/64L 85 $965
🎬 Culture 62.6% 67W/40L 83 $1,244
🤖 Tech 57.1% 16W/12L 60 $849
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 13 $182
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $80

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 200 0.414 $82.90 $80.90 +4045.0%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 80 0.390 $31.20 $23.20 +290.0%
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Yes 90 0.320 $28.78 $27.88 +3095.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 70 0.363 $25.41 $15.30 +151.3%
Bayer Leverkusen to score first vs. FC Carl Zeiss Jena? Yes 54 0.444 $24.06 $23.52 +4335.0%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first vs. Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 50 0.449 $22.63 $22.13 +4385.0%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? No 49 0.455 $22.13 $16.78 +313.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 28 0.760 $21.28 $17.36 +442.9%
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? No 24 0.780 $18.77 $5.78 +44.4%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 18 0.958 $17.07 $4.07 +31.3%
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? No 54 0.316 $17.01 $10.01 +143.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 83 0.205 $16.99 $6.00 +54.5%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.699 $16.75 $9.76 +139.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? No 69 0.240 $16.50 $11.00 +200.0%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 27 0.587 $16.02 $2.02 +14.4%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No 49 0.323 $15.95 $7.95 +99.4%
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5) ACF Fiorentina 28 0.535 $14.93 $2.93 +24.4%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes 500 0.029 $14.75 $11.98 +433.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 117 0.126 $14.64 $13.47 +1155.0%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 82 0.172 $14.18 $11.70 +473.0%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.600 $13.93 $0.93 +7.1%
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No 15 0.922 $13.91 $0.92 +7.1%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 22 0.605 $13.44 $5.44 +68.1%
Will Shri Thanedar win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%? Yes 56 0.240 $13.44 $12.88 +2300.0%
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? No 39 0.340 $13.36 $2.36 +21.4%