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Trader leaderboard/TeenagePanda

TeenagePanda

0x126ed8e132ba2005b3b7053bf7dd62febe5fc360
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$13
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$101
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
370W / 349L · 654 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
762W / 583L · 28 open
Trades (30d)
1,373
across 409 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.08
avg win $6 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.97
$403 won / $416 lost
Reward / Risk
1.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$41
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $58,738 · all-time $700,550

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.9% 2,654W/3,392L 2668 $47,188
💵 Economy 19.1% 65W/276L 217 $2,493
🏛 Politics 62.5% 85W/51L 171 $2,323
₿ Crypto 18.2% 51W/229L 103 $1,014
⚽ Sports 50.4% 65W/64L 84 $956
🎬 Culture 62.6% 67W/40L 83 $1,244
🤖 Tech 57.1% 16W/12L 60 $849
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 13 $182
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $80

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 200 0.423 $84.70 $82.70 +4135.0%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 80 0.380 $30.40 $22.40 +280.0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of August 3 2026? No 200 0.135 $27.00 $25.00 +1250.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 70 0.364 $25.48 $15.37 +152.0%
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Yes 90 0.280 $25.17 $24.27 +2695.0%
Bayer Leverkusen to score first vs. FC Carl Zeiss Jena? Yes 54 0.447 $24.23 $23.68 +4365.0%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first vs. Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 50 0.449 $22.63 $22.13 +4385.0%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? No 49 0.455 $22.13 $16.78 +313.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 28 0.760 $21.28 $17.36 +442.9%
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? No 24 0.790 $19.02 $6.02 +46.3%
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? No 54 0.323 $17.39 $10.39 +148.5%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 18 0.958 $17.07 $4.07 +31.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 83 0.205 $16.99 $6.00 +54.5%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.699 $16.75 $9.76 +139.4%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 27 0.590 $16.10 $2.10 +15.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No 49 0.323 $15.93 $7.93 +99.1%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.675 $15.67 $2.67 +20.5%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 82 0.189 $15.59 $13.11 +530.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? No 69 0.220 $15.12 $9.62 +175.0%
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes 70 0.210 $14.70 $11.20 +320.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 117 0.125 $14.58 $13.41 +1150.0%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 22 0.650 $14.44 $6.44 +80.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 30 0.480 $14.27 $3.27 +29.7%
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5) ACF Fiorentina 28 0.505 $14.09 $2.09 +17.4%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes 500 0.028 $14.00 $11.23 +405.9%