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Trader leaderboard/TeenagePanda

TeenagePanda

0x126ed8e132ba2005b3b7053bf7dd62febe5fc360
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$30
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$52
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
246W / 267L · 264 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
406W / 348L · 23 open
Trades (30d)
777
across 229 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.21
avg win $6 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.10
$323 won / $293 lost
Reward / Risk
1.68
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $65,163 · all-time $706,975

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.6% 2,659W/3,434L 2716 $48,102
💵 Economy 18.2% 65W/292L 232 $2,674
🏛 Politics 61.6% 85W/53L 176 $2,485
₿ Crypto 17.2% 51W/245L 117 $1,173
⚽ Sports 50.4% 65W/64L 89 $1,056
🎬 Culture 61.5% 67W/42L 85 $1,339
🤖 Tech 57.1% 16W/12L 61 $881
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 14 $192
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $80

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 200 0.406 $81.20 $79.20 +3960.0%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 80 0.390 $31.20 $23.20 +290.0%
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Yes 90 0.319 $28.69 $27.79 +3085.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 70 0.361 $25.27 $15.16 +149.9%
Bayer Leverkusen to score first vs. FC Carl Zeiss Jena? Yes 54 0.448 $24.28 $23.74 +4375.0%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first vs. Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 50 0.449 $22.63 $22.13 +4385.0%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? No 49 0.455 $22.13 $16.78 +313.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 28 0.760 $21.28 $17.36 +442.9%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 82 0.231 $19.01 $16.54 +668.3%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 18 0.958 $17.07 $4.07 +31.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 83 0.205 $16.99 $6.00 +54.5%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.699 $16.75 $9.76 +139.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? No 69 0.240 $16.50 $11.00 +200.0%
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? No 54 0.300 $16.18 $9.18 +131.2%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 27 0.585 $15.96 $1.96 +14.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No 49 0.323 $15.95 $7.95 +99.4%
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? Yes 75 0.205 $15.37 $7.72 +100.9%
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5) ACF Fiorentina 28 0.540 $15.07 $3.07 +25.6%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes 500 0.030 $15.00 $12.23 +442.0%
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes 86 0.171 $14.63 $5.98 +69.3%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 117 0.125 $14.58 $13.41 +1150.0%
Will Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? Yes 250 0.058 $14.50 $11.00 +314.3%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 22 0.630 $14.00 $6.00 +75.0%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.600 $13.93 $0.93 +7.1%
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No 15 0.922 $13.91 $0.92 +7.1%