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Trader leaderboard/TeenagePanda

TeenagePanda

0x126ed8e132ba2005b3b7053bf7dd62febe5fc360
PnL (30d)
−$83
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$760
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
2,654W / 3,390L · 3,802 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
4,689W / 4,901L · 256 open
Trades (30d)
9,846
across 2,668 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.05
avg win $5 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.97
$3,010 won / $3,093 lost
Reward / Risk
1.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,044
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $48,496 · all-time $696,753

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.9% 2,654W/3,390L 2668 $47,188
💵 Economy 19.1% 73W/310L 246 $2,836
🏛 Politics 59.6% 87W/59L 187 $2,504
₿ Crypto 17.1% 51W/248L 114 $1,107
⚽ Sports 53.5% 77W/67L 89 $1,018
🎬 Culture 61.8% 68W/42L 86 $1,273
🤖 Tech 48.5% 16W/17L 65 $943
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 13 $182
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $80

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 200 0.468 $93.60 $91.60 +4580.0%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 80 0.380 $30.40 $22.40 +280.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 70 0.364 $25.52 $15.40 +152.4%
Bayer Leverkusen to score first vs. FC Carl Zeiss Jena? Yes 54 0.449 $24.34 $23.79 +4385.0%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first vs. Bayer Leverkusen? Yes 50 0.449 $22.63 $22.13 +4385.0%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? No 49 0.455 $22.13 $16.78 +313.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 28 0.785 $21.98 $18.06 +460.7%
Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 100 0.207 $20.70 $8.70 +72.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 83 0.246 $20.39 $9.39 +85.3%
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? No 54 0.361 $19.44 $12.44 +177.7%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? No 47 0.410 $19.27 $16.92 +720.0%
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? No 24 0.715 $17.21 $4.21 +32.4%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 82 0.207 $17.11 $14.64 +591.7%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 18 0.958 $17.07 $4.07 +31.3%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.700 $16.77 $9.77 +139.6%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 27 0.589 $16.07 $2.07 +14.8%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.690 $16.01 $3.01 +23.2%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $137.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 20 0.760 $15.20 $5.00 +49.0%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? Yes 41 0.373 $15.14 $4.14 +37.6%
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 24 0.620 $14.92 $1.93 +14.8%
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? Yes 75 0.195 $14.62 $6.97 +91.1%
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 39 0.370 $14.53 $3.54 +32.1%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes 117 0.124 $14.52 $13.36 +1145.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes 500 0.029 $14.50 $11.73 +423.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 18 0.805 $14.28 $3.28 +29.8%