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Trader

0xf5286079ada8dcfeaa44f7f1c87e1ec37c127e5b
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$11
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
70%
125W / 54L · 157 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
204W / 123L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
336
across 120 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.19
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.32
$44 won / $33 lost
Reward / Risk
0.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,755 · all-time $815,616

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.0% 9,095W/3,532L 4988 $108,256
🎬 Culture 68.6% 164W/75L 162 $2,072
🏛 Politics 71.4% 115W/46L 156 $2,083
💵 Economy 64.6% 126W/69L 150 $2,004
₿ Crypto 60.6% 94W/61L 112 $1,374
🌤 Weather 86.7% 241W/37L 112 $1,668
⚽ Sports 79.5% 58W/15L 77 $1,334
🤖 Tech 56.6% 30W/23L 45 $505
🔬 Science 100.0% 2W/0L 6 $85

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 17 0.815 $14.12 $-0.26 -1.8%
Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? No 16 0.745 $11.64 $-1.27 -9.8%
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? Yes 15 0.765 $11.22 $-0.44 -3.8%
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 14 0.750 $10.52 $-0.66 -5.9%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? No 12 0.829 $10.28 $-0.31 -3.0%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No 11 0.933 $10.27 $1.46 +16.5%
Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 11 0.915 $10.06 $0.94 +10.2%
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31? No 11 0.910 $10.01 $0.88 +9.6%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 in August? Yes 11 0.910 $10.01 $0.55 +5.8%
Will Gen.G Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 11 0.890 $9.79 $0.42 +4.5%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? No 11 0.885 $9.73 $0.82 +9.3%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? No 10 0.938 $9.41 $1.18 +14.4%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August? No 11 0.850 $9.34 $0.53 +6.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $90? Yes 10 0.930 $9.30 $0.50 +5.7%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.835 $9.19 $0.39 +4.4%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 10 0.917 $9.18 $0.32 +3.6%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? No 11 0.830 $9.13 $-0.33 -3.5%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 US song this week? Yes 11 0.825 $9.07 $0.16 +1.9%
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video? No 11 0.815 $8.96 $0.16 +1.9%
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? Yes 11 0.815 $8.86 $0.45 +5.4%
Will Trace Esports be a 2027 VCT CN partner team? No 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings Yes 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 12 0.712 $8.55 $-0.02 -0.2%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 17 0.496 $8.43 $-6.70 -44.3%
Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week? Yes 9 0.895 $8.41 $1.01 +13.7%