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0xf5286079ada8dcfeaa44f7f1c87e1ec37c127e5b
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$45
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
844W / 390L · 305 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
1,020W / 504L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
1,539
across 491 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.12
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.17
$313 won / $268 lost
Reward / Risk
0.56
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$26
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,159 · all-time $815,020

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.0% 9,083W/3,529L 4988 $108,256
🎬 Culture 67.5% 156W/75L 162 $2,072
🏛 Politics 70.1% 108W/46L 156 $2,083
💵 Economy 64.2% 124W/69L 150 $2,004
₿ Crypto 60.6% 94W/61L 112 $1,374
🌤 Weather 86.7% 241W/37L 112 $1,668
⚽ Sports 79.5% 58W/15L 77 $1,334
🤖 Tech 55.8% 29W/23L 45 $505
🔬 Science 100.0% 2W/0L 6 $85

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 17 0.815 $14.12 $-0.26 -1.8%
Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? No 16 0.860 $13.43 $0.52 +4.1%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? Yes 12 0.950 $11.41 $2.16 +23.4%
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? Yes 15 0.755 $11.08 $-0.59 -5.0%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? No 12 0.872 $10.80 $0.21 +2.0%
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 14 0.750 $10.52 $-0.66 -5.9%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No 11 0.934 $10.28 $1.47 +16.7%
Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 11 0.915 $10.06 $0.94 +10.2%
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31? No 11 0.890 $9.79 $0.66 +7.2%
Will Trump say "American Dream" in August? Yes 11 0.885 $9.73 $0.71 +7.9%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? No 11 0.880 $9.68 $0.77 +8.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? Yes 11 0.870 $9.57 $0.44 +4.8%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 10 0.942 $9.42 $0.56 +6.3%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? No 10 0.939 $9.42 $1.19 +14.5%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call? Yes 10 0.950 $9.38 $0.99 +11.8%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 US song this week? Yes 11 0.825 $9.07 $0.16 +1.9%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.820 $9.02 $0.22 +2.5%
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 11 0.820 $9.02 $0.11 +1.2%
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 10 0.900 $9.00 $0.20 +2.3%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 12 0.739 $8.87 $0.31 +3.6%
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 11 0.803 $8.84 $0.03 +0.3%
Will Trace Esports be a 2027 VCT CN partner team? No 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings Yes 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 9 0.965 $8.67 $0.66 +8.3%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 17 0.496 $8.43 $-6.70 -44.3%