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Trader

0xf5286079ada8dcfeaa44f7f1c87e1ec37c127e5b
PnL (30d)
+$328
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$56
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
9,083W / 3,526L · 3,247 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
10,955W / 4,726L · 175 open
Trades (30d)
15,856
across 4,988 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.09
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.11
$3,412 won / $3,084 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$69
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,993 · all-time $814,853

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.0% 9,083W/3,526L 4988 $108,256
🎬 Culture 69.2% 180W/80L 175 $2,264
🏛 Politics 69.2% 126W/56L 172 $2,300
💵 Economy 65.7% 140W/73L 164 $2,180
🌤 Weather 86.9% 279W/42L 128 $1,920
₿ Crypto 62.4% 108W/65L 126 $1,518
⚽ Sports 79.5% 58W/15L 84 $1,432
🤖 Tech 62.3% 33W/20L 46 $523
🔬 Science 100.0% 6W/0L 7 $104

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 17 0.820 $14.21 $-0.17 -1.2%
Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? No 16 0.885 $13.82 $0.95 +7.4%
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? Yes 15 0.775 $11.37 $-0.29 -2.5%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? No 12 0.874 $10.83 $0.24 +2.2%
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 14 0.755 $10.59 $-0.59 -5.3%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? Yes 12 0.870 $10.44 $1.20 +13.0%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No 11 0.932 $10.26 $1.45 +16.4%
Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 11 0.915 $10.06 $0.94 +10.2%
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31? No 11 0.900 $9.90 $0.77 +8.4%
Will Trump say "American Dream" in August? Yes 11 0.885 $9.73 $0.71 +7.9%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 10 0.942 $9.42 $0.56 +6.3%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call? Yes 10 0.950 $9.38 $0.99 +11.8%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? No 10 0.935 $9.38 $1.15 +14.0%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 11 0.840 $9.24 $0.00 +0.0%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 US song this week? Yes 11 0.825 $9.07 $0.16 +1.9%
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 11 0.820 $9.02 $0.11 +1.2%
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 10 0.900 $9.00 $0.20 +2.3%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? No 11 0.815 $8.96 $0.05 +0.6%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.810 $8.91 $0.11 +1.3%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 12 0.739 $8.87 $0.31 +3.6%
Will Trace Esports be a 2027 VCT CN partner team? No 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings Yes 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 9 0.961 $8.63 $0.62 +7.8%
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 11 0.773 $8.51 $-0.51 -5.7%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 17 0.496 $8.43 $-6.70 -44.3%