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Trader

0xf5286079ada8dcfeaa44f7f1c87e1ec37c127e5b
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$23
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
540W / 256L · 322 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
723W / 378L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
1,118
across 424 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.08
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.91
$221 won / $244 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,993 · all-time $814,853

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.0% 9,083W/3,526L 4988 $108,256
🎬 Culture 69.2% 180W/80L 175 $2,264
🏛 Politics 69.2% 126W/56L 172 $2,300
💵 Economy 65.7% 140W/73L 164 $2,180
🌤 Weather 86.9% 279W/42L 128 $1,920
₿ Crypto 62.4% 108W/65L 126 $1,518
⚽ Sports 79.5% 58W/15L 84 $1,432
🤖 Tech 62.3% 33W/20L 46 $523
🔬 Science 100.0% 6W/0L 7 $104

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 17 0.835 $14.47 $0.09 +0.6%
Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? No 16 0.890 $13.90 $0.99 +7.7%
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? Yes 15 0.755 $11.08 $-0.59 -5.0%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? No 12 0.871 $10.80 $0.21 +1.9%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? Yes 12 0.870 $10.44 $1.20 +13.0%
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 14 0.740 $10.37 $-0.80 -7.2%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No 11 0.934 $10.28 $1.47 +16.7%
Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 11 0.915 $10.06 $0.94 +10.2%
Will Trump say "American Dream" in August? Yes 11 0.885 $9.73 $0.71 +7.9%
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31? No 11 0.880 $9.68 $0.55 +6.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? Yes 11 0.870 $9.57 $0.44 +4.8%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 10 0.942 $9.42 $0.56 +6.3%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call? Yes 10 0.950 $9.38 $0.99 +11.8%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? No 10 0.934 $9.37 $1.15 +14.0%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? No 11 0.845 $9.29 $0.38 +4.3%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 US song this week? Yes 11 0.825 $9.07 $0.16 +1.9%
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 11 0.820 $9.02 $0.11 +1.2%
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 10 0.900 $9.00 $0.20 +2.3%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.815 $8.97 $0.16 +1.9%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 12 0.739 $8.87 $0.31 +3.6%
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 11 0.803 $8.84 $0.02 +0.2%
Will Trace Esports be a 2027 VCT CN partner team? No 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings Yes 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 9 0.956 $8.58 $0.58 +7.2%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 17 0.496 $8.43 $-6.70 -44.3%