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Trader

0xf5286079ada8dcfeaa44f7f1c87e1ec37c127e5b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$52
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$28
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
568W / 303L · 516 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
811W / 549L · 27 open
Trades (30d)
1,387
across 497 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.17
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.81
$225 won / $277 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$37
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,755 · all-time $815,616

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.0% 9,116W/3,540L 4989 $108,265
🎬 Culture 68.7% 169W/77L 163 $2,080
🏛 Politics 71.4% 115W/46L 156 $2,083
💵 Economy 65.3% 130W/69L 150 $2,004
₿ Crypto 60.9% 98W/63L 113 $1,383
🌤 Weather 86.7% 241W/37L 112 $1,668
⚽ Sports 79.5% 58W/15L 77 $1,334
🤖 Tech 60.3% 35W/23L 45 $505
🔬 Science 100.0% 2W/0L 6 $85

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 17 0.800 $13.86 $-0.52 -3.6%
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August? Yes 15 0.795 $11.66 $0.00 +0.0%
Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? No 16 0.745 $11.64 $-1.27 -9.8%
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 14 0.775 $10.87 $-0.31 -2.8%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No 11 0.933 $10.27 $1.46 +16.5%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? No 12 0.824 $10.21 $-0.38 -3.6%
Will Gen.G Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 11 0.897 $9.87 $0.49 +5.3%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? No 10 0.944 $9.47 $1.24 +15.1%
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video? No 11 0.860 $9.46 $0.66 +7.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August? No 11 0.850 $9.34 $0.53 +6.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? No 11 0.845 $9.29 $-0.16 -1.7%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? No 11 0.840 $9.24 $0.33 +3.7%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.835 $9.19 $0.39 +4.4%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 10 0.917 $9.17 $0.31 +3.5%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 US song this week? Yes 11 0.825 $9.07 $0.16 +1.9%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 11 0.805 $8.86 $0.05 +0.6%
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? Yes 11 0.810 $8.81 $0.40 +4.7%
Will Trace Esports be a 2027 VCT CN partner team? No 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings Yes 11 0.800 $8.80 $0.00 +0.0%
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 12 0.713 $8.56 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 17 0.496 $8.43 $-6.70 -44.3%
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31? No 11 0.755 $8.30 $-0.82 -9.0%
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 11 0.734 $8.07 $-0.74 -8.4%
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No 10 0.815 $7.86 $0.76 +10.7%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? Yes 10 0.750 $7.63 $0.04 +0.5%