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Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$544
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$38
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
76%
722W / 231L · 262 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
836W / 377L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
1,215
across 264 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$3.04
avg win $50 · loss $279
Profit Factor
0.93
$7,539 won / $8,083 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6,299
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,993,602 · all-time $579,348,028

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.1% 50,440W/42,765L 13964 $6,485,759
⚽ Sports 44.2% 6,079W/7,681L 2108 $776,047
🌤 Weather 81.7% 872W/195L 346 $19,401
🏛 Politics 55.6% 738W/590L 307 $264,374
💵 Economy 54.0% 318W/271L 127 $250,995
🎬 Culture 68.4% 374W/173L 120 $33,662
🤖 Tech 38.8% 26W/41L 30 $5,943
🔬 Science 10 $138
₿ Crypto 3 $28

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs MI London MI London 37,805 1.000 $37,785.93 $28,036.06 +287.6%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 39,803 0.576 $22,906.91 $13,911.00 +154.6%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 13,639 0.345 $4,704.04 $116.27 +2.5%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 3,468 1.000 $3,465.78 $2,360.15 +213.5%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 3,945 0.865 $3,412.68 $317.05 +10.2%
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins GIANTX 4,159 0.705 $2,932.42 $-194.77 -6.2%
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06? Yes 3,043 0.885 $2,693.40 $603.86 +28.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 2,433 0.983 $2,390.48 $-3.82 -0.2%
Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-08-02? No 4,420 0.500 $2,209.84 $2,149.22 +3545.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 7,533 0.266 $2,000.04 $1,764.63 +749.6%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,886 0.997 $1,879.71 $3.26 +0.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 14,104 0.132 $1,854.63 $-86.91 -4.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 3,898 0.475 $1,851.55 $49.49 +2.7%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 7,424 0.239 $1,778.12 $49.47 +2.9%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 3,258 0.545 $1,775.80 $-373.09 -17.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 1,520 0.990 $1,504.04 $0.76 +0.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 17,168 0.087 $1,502.16 $620.95 +70.5%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,471 0.998 $1,467.28 $-2.21 -0.2%
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-06? No 1,629 0.885 $1,441.42 $89.58 +6.6%
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 1,402 0.998 $1,398.13 $24.53 +1.8%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,110 0.932 $1,034.91 $1.89 +0.2%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 1,292 0.786 $1,016.35 $40.72 +4.2%
FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5 Over 3,750 0.260 $974.94 $-2,515.99 -72.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 2,653 0.355 $941.68 $-28.10 -2.9%
Will FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz end in a draw? No 876 0.910 $797.24 $151.01 +23.4%