PnL (30d)

+$0

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$119

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

15W / 9L · 79 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

67W / 28L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

103

across 23 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.02

avg win $59 · loss $59

Profit Factor

1.00

$178 won / $178 lost

Reward / Risk

1.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$161

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.3% 117W/17L	76	$31,775
🏛 Politics	53.8% 7W/6L	21	$6,481
💵 Economy	50.0% 1W/1L	4	$357
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	4	$518
🎬 Culture	100.0% 4W/0L	4	$465
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$165

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	1,264	0.835	$1,055.44	$-14.05	-1.3%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	797	0.996	$793.08	$71.52	+9.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	1,100	0.645	$709.50	$18.50	+2.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	762	0.705	$537.13	$-44.88	-7.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	850	0.380	$323.00	$-65.50	-16.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	462	0.630	$291.34	$26.83	+10.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	282	0.588	$165.95	$-35.90	-17.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	321	0.515	$165.12	$-7.40	-4.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	249	0.495	$123.25	$-33.53	-21.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	365	0.280	$102.23	$-103.39	-50.3%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	150	0.660	$99.00	$-11.00	-10.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	1,676	0.055	$92.18	$-23.93	-20.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	86	0.705	$60.63	$-4.95	-7.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	246	0.185	$45.51	$-86.63	-65.6%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	218	0.177	$38.70	$21.96	+131.3%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	63	0.603	$38.18	$-7.95	-17.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	No	39	0.745	$29.05	$0.59	+2.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	200	0.135	$27.00	$-44.00	-62.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	173	0.130	$22.46	$-23.46	-51.1%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	50	0.030	$1.50	$-9.00	-85.7%