| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,264 |
0.825 |
$1,042.80 |
$-26.69 |
-2.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
1,201 |
0.695 |
$834.34 |
$-50.43 |
-5.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.645 |
$709.50 |
$18.50 |
+2.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
850 |
0.385 |
$327.25 |
$-61.25 |
-15.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
462 |
0.630 |
$291.34 |
$26.83 |
+10.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
321 |
0.520 |
$166.72 |
$-5.79 |
-3.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
282 |
0.575 |
$162.14 |
$-39.71 |
-19.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
249 |
0.490 |
$122.00 |
$-34.78 |
-22.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
365 |
0.295 |
$107.71 |
$-97.92 |
-47.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.640 |
$96.00 |
$-14.00 |
-12.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
86 |
0.710 |
$61.06 |
$-4.52 |
-6.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
352 |
0.170 |
$59.84 |
$-93.50 |
-61.0% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
Yes |
218 |
0.200 |
$43.49 |
$26.76 |
+160.0% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
63 |
0.607 |
$38.40 |
$-7.73 |
-16.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,676 |
0.022 |
$36.87 |
$-79.24 |
-68.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.760 |
$29.64 |
$1.18 |
+4.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.110 |
$22.00 |
$-49.00 |
-69.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
173 |
0.120 |
$20.73 |
$-25.19 |
-54.9% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
50 |
0.027 |
$1.35 |
$-9.15 |
-87.1% |