PnL (30d)

+$7

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

4W / 0L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

78%

7W / 2L

Trades (30d)

9

across 4 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$3.36

avg win $3

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.3% 117W/17L	76	$31,775
🏛 Politics	53.8% 7W/6L	21	$6,481
💵 Economy	50.0% 1W/1L	4	$357
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	4	$518
🎬 Culture	100.0% 4W/0L	4	$465
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$165

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	1,264	0.835	$1,055.44	$-14.05	-1.3%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	797	0.978	$779.14	$57.58	+8.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	1,100	0.645	$709.50	$18.50	+2.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	762	0.705	$537.13	$-44.88	-7.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	850	0.375	$318.75	$-69.75	-18.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	462	0.630	$291.34	$26.83	+10.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	282	0.623	$175.83	$-26.02	-12.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	321	0.520	$166.72	$-5.79	-3.4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	249	0.495	$123.25	$-33.53	-21.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	365	0.335	$122.31	$-83.31	-40.5%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	150	0.665	$99.75	$-10.25	-9.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	1,676	0.042	$70.39	$-45.72	-39.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	86	0.710	$61.06	$-4.52	-6.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	246	0.190	$46.74	$-85.40	-64.6%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	63	0.604	$38.21	$-7.92	-17.2%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	218	0.169	$36.84	$20.11	+120.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	No	39	0.725	$28.27	$-0.18	-0.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	200	0.125	$25.00	$-46.00	-64.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	173	0.130	$22.46	$-23.46	-51.1%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	50	0.030	$1.50	$-9.00	-85.7%