| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,264 |
0.825 |
$1,042.80 |
$-26.69 |
-2.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
1,201 |
0.695 |
$834.34 |
$-50.43 |
-5.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.645 |
$709.50 |
$18.50 |
+2.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
850 |
0.380 |
$323.00 |
$-65.50 |
-16.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
462 |
0.625 |
$289.03 |
$24.51 |
+9.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
321 |
0.515 |
$165.12 |
$-7.40 |
-4.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
282 |
0.560 |
$158.05 |
$-43.80 |
-21.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
249 |
0.485 |
$120.76 |
$-36.02 |
-23.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
365 |
0.315 |
$115.01 |
$-90.61 |
-44.1% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.655 |
$98.25 |
$-11.75 |
-10.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
352 |
0.185 |
$65.12 |
$-88.22 |
-57.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,676 |
0.037 |
$62.01 |
$-54.10 |
-46.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
86 |
0.705 |
$60.63 |
$-4.95 |
-7.5% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
Yes |
218 |
0.180 |
$39.35 |
$22.62 |
+135.2% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
63 |
0.606 |
$38.37 |
$-7.76 |
-16.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.790 |
$30.81 |
$2.35 |
+8.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.130 |
$26.00 |
$-45.00 |
-63.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
173 |
0.140 |
$24.19 |
$-21.74 |
-47.3% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
50 |
0.030 |
$1.50 |
$-9.00 |
-85.7% |