| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
475 |
0.565 |
$268.21 |
$66.39 |
+32.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
231 |
0.825 |
$190.41 |
$31.16 |
+19.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.855 |
$171.00 |
$19.00 |
+12.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
201 |
0.775 |
$156.03 |
$37.03 |
+31.1% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
208 |
0.725 |
$151.12 |
$52.32 |
+53.0% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.610 |
$122.29 |
$6.29 |
+5.4% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
146 |
0.780 |
$113.50 |
$22.31 |
+24.5% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.505 |
$75.81 |
$61.43 |
+427.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
192 |
0.390 |
$75.05 |
$-34.24 |
-31.3% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
107 |
0.625 |
$66.60 |
$-0.40 |
-0.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.570 |
$57.01 |
$13.17 |
+30.0% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.535 |
$53.50 |
$-6.50 |
-10.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
235 |
0.225 |
$52.94 |
$-41.06 |
-43.7% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 7, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.490 |
$49.63 |
$20.81 |
+72.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
147 |
0.315 |
$46.39 |
$-34.61 |
-42.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
Yes |
135 |
0.255 |
$34.32 |
$-0.68 |
-2.0% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.835 |
$33.80 |
$0.30 |
+0.9% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.680 |
$26.42 |
$-0.58 |
-2.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.725 |
$20.30 |
$2.66 |
+15.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
73 |
0.175 |
$12.73 |
$-11.27 |
-47.0% |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
214 |
0.059 |
$12.71 |
$-9.79 |
-43.5% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
44 |
0.185 |
$8.16 |
$-6.84 |
-45.6% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.665 |
$6.65 |
$0.65 |
+10.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
482 |
0.013 |
$6.50 |
$-34.07 |
-84.0% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.500 |
$6.38 |
$-3.62 |
-36.2% |