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Trader leaderboard/0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503

0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503

0x929a8eb9be3dc9fa54970f10b8195766f1095ab4
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$30
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$52
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
99W / 101L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
99W / 108L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
214
across 100 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.32
avg win $13 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.94
$502 won / $532 lost
Reward / Risk
1.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,858 · all-time $264,329

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 550W/504L 390 $53,258
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/48L 11 $2,216
💵 Economy 75.0% 3W/1L 11 $872
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 10 $871
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $540
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 2 $80
⚽ Sports — 1 $368

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 475 0.565 $268.21 $66.39 +32.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 231 0.825 $190.41 $31.16 +19.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 200 0.855 $171.00 $19.00 +12.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 201 0.820 $165.09 $46.09 +38.7%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes 208 0.720 $150.08 $51.28 +51.9%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 200 0.610 $122.29 $6.29 +5.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? No 146 0.780 $113.50 $22.31 +24.5%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? No 150 0.505 $75.81 $61.43 +427.4%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 192 0.365 $70.23 $-39.05 -35.7%
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 107 0.625 $66.60 $-0.40 -0.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 100 0.570 $57.01 $13.17 +30.0%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.535 $53.50 $-6.50 -10.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 235 0.220 $51.77 $-42.23 -44.9%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 7, 2026? No 101 0.490 $49.63 $20.81 +72.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 147 0.275 $40.50 $-40.50 -50.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? No 40 0.835 $33.80 $0.30 +0.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? Yes 135 0.250 $33.64 $-1.36 -3.9%
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 39 0.670 $26.04 $-0.96 -3.6%
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 28 0.725 $20.30 $2.66 +15.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 73 0.175 $12.73 $-11.27 -47.0%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 214 0.057 $12.18 $-10.32 -45.9%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026? Yes 44 0.185 $8.16 $-6.84 -45.6%
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 10 0.660 $6.60 $0.60 +10.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? No 482 0.013 $6.50 $-34.07 -84.0%
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? No 13 0.500 $6.38 $-3.62 -36.2%