| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
475 |
0.560 |
$265.88 |
$64.06 |
+31.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
231 |
0.835 |
$192.72 |
$33.47 |
+21.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.855 |
$171.00 |
$19.00 |
+12.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
201 |
0.840 |
$169.12 |
$50.12 |
+42.1% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
208 |
0.735 |
$153.20 |
$54.41 |
+55.1% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.570 |
$114.25 |
$-1.75 |
-1.5% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
146 |
0.780 |
$113.50 |
$22.31 |
+24.5% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.505 |
$75.81 |
$61.43 |
+427.4% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
107 |
0.625 |
$66.60 |
$-0.40 |
-0.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.620 |
$62.02 |
$18.18 |
+41.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
192 |
0.315 |
$60.61 |
$-48.67 |
-44.5% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.540 |
$54.00 |
$-6.00 |
-10.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
235 |
0.215 |
$50.59 |
$-43.41 |
-46.2% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 7, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.490 |
$49.63 |
$20.81 |
+72.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
147 |
0.275 |
$40.50 |
$-40.50 |
-50.0% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.835 |
$33.80 |
$0.30 |
+0.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
Yes |
135 |
0.225 |
$30.28 |
$-4.72 |
-13.5% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.670 |
$26.04 |
$-0.96 |
-3.6% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.725 |
$20.30 |
$2.66 |
+15.1% |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
214 |
0.060 |
$12.92 |
$-9.58 |
-42.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
73 |
0.165 |
$12.00 |
$-12.00 |
-50.0% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
44 |
0.185 |
$8.16 |
$-6.84 |
-45.6% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.655 |
$6.55 |
$0.55 |
+9.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
482 |
0.013 |
$6.50 |
$-34.07 |
-84.0% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.455 |
$5.80 |
$-4.20 |
-42.0% |