| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
475 |
0.550 |
$261.13 |
$59.32 |
+29.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
231 |
0.825 |
$190.41 |
$31.16 |
+19.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.855 |
$171.00 |
$19.00 |
+12.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
201 |
0.775 |
$156.03 |
$37.03 |
+31.1% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
208 |
0.730 |
$152.16 |
$53.36 |
+54.0% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.585 |
$117.28 |
$1.28 |
+1.1% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
146 |
0.780 |
$113.50 |
$22.31 |
+24.5% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.505 |
$75.81 |
$61.43 |
+427.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
192 |
0.365 |
$70.23 |
$-39.05 |
-35.7% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
107 |
0.625 |
$66.60 |
$-0.40 |
-0.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.570 |
$57.01 |
$13.17 |
+30.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.542 |
$54.21 |
$-1.72 |
-3.1% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.540 |
$54.00 |
$-6.00 |
-10.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
235 |
0.215 |
$50.59 |
$-43.41 |
-46.2% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.490 |
$49.14 |
$20.60 |
+72.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
147 |
0.310 |
$45.66 |
$-35.35 |
-43.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
Yes |
135 |
0.265 |
$35.66 |
$0.66 |
+1.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.835 |
$33.80 |
$0.30 |
+0.9% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.680 |
$26.42 |
$-0.58 |
-2.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.725 |
$20.30 |
$2.66 |
+15.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
50 |
0.295 |
$14.75 |
$-0.25 |
-1.7% |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
214 |
0.060 |
$12.92 |
$-9.58 |
-42.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
73 |
0.175 |
$12.73 |
$-11.27 |
-47.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? |
Yes |
82 |
0.145 |
$11.90 |
$0.90 |
+8.2% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
44 |
0.185 |
$8.16 |
$-6.84 |
-45.6% |