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Trader leaderboard/0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503

0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503

0x929a8eb9be3dc9fa54970f10b8195766f1095ab4
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$28
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
117W / 69L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
117W / 82L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
200
across 94 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.31
avg win $9 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.94
$435 won / $462 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,622 · all-time $265,092

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 550W/504L 390 $53,258
💵 Economy 75.0% 3W/1L 11 $872
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/41L 10 $2,183
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 10 $871
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $540
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 2 $80
⚽ Sports 1 $368

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

38 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 475 0.545 $258.76 $56.94 +28.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 231 0.825 $190.41 $31.16 +19.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 200 0.860 $172.00 $20.00 +13.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 201 0.785 $158.05 $39.05 +32.8%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes 208 0.730 $152.16 $53.36 +54.0%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 200 0.620 $124.29 $8.29 +7.1%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? No 146 0.780 $113.50 $22.31 +24.5%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? No 150 0.505 $75.81 $61.43 +427.4%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 192 0.370 $71.20 $-38.08 -34.8%
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 107 0.625 $66.60 $-0.40 -0.6%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.540 $54.00 $-6.00 -10.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 100 0.519 $51.91 $-4.02 -7.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 93 0.555 $51.64 $10.86 +26.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 235 0.215 $50.59 $-43.41 -46.2%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 7, 2026? No 100 0.490 $49.14 $20.60 +72.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 147 0.315 $46.39 $-34.61 -42.7%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? No 40 0.835 $33.80 $0.30 +0.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? Yes 110 0.260 $28.49 $-0.01 -0.0%
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 39 0.655 $25.45 $-1.55 -5.7%
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 28 0.725 $20.30 $2.66 +15.1%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 50 0.295 $14.75 $-0.25 -1.7%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 214 0.065 $13.89 $-8.61 -38.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 73 0.175 $12.73 $-11.27 -47.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 82 0.145 $11.90 $0.90 +8.2%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026? Yes 44 0.185 $8.16 $-6.84 -45.6%