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Trader leaderboard/0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060

0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060

0xfbd8c9c22ca76b3662d0e53a4f79719fdc684027
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$778
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$193
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
7,606W / 859L · 1,406 open
Win Return (30d)
88%
8,406W / 1,154L · 311 open
Trades (30d)
9,871
across 2,290 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.44
avg win $3 · loss $32
Profit Factor
1.17
$5,260 won / $4,483 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$294
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $485,808 · all-time $15,871,488

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 85.6% 34,541W/5,805L 10515 $1,819,670
🌤 Weather 91.4% 4,352W/411L 1560 $54,747
🏛 Politics 78.3% 90W/25L 484 $57,253
⚽ Sports 90.9% 10W/1L 243 $114,777
💵 Economy 75.9% 22W/7L 228 $88,331
🎬 Culture 84.2% 101W/19L 223 $7,057
🤖 Tech 61.5% 32W/20L 109 $3,819
₿ Crypto 72.7% 24W/9L 23 $1,053
🔬 Science 15 $154

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 5? No 25 0.996 $24.90 $-0.03 -0.1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 5? No 25 0.991 $24.76 $-0.11 -0.5%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 5? No 25 0.935 $23.38 $-0.12 -0.5%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.999 $13.98 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.998 $13.96 $-0.01 -0.0%
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.996 $13.94 $-0.03 -0.2%
Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.996 $13.94 $-0.04 -0.3%
Will Recraft have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.995 $13.93 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.995 $13.92 $-0.04 -0.3%
Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.988 $13.82 $-0.15 -1.1%
Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.986 $13.80 $-0.17 -1.2%
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.985 $13.79 $-0.18 -1.3%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.971 $13.59 $-0.38 -2.8%
Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.918 $12.86 $-1.11 -8.0%
Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? No 14 0.890 $12.46 $2.52 +25.4%
Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 9 0.999 $8.99 $-0.00 -0.1%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 9 0.998 $8.98 $-0.01 -0.2%
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 9 0.994 $8.95 $-0.04 -0.5%
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 9 0.986 $8.87 $-0.04 -0.5%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? No 9 0.936 $8.43 $-0.48 -5.4%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 41°C or higher on August 7? No 8 0.997 $7.97 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or below on August 7? No 8 0.996 $7.96 $-0.03 -0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 7? No 8 0.995 $7.96 $7.96 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 7? No 8 0.995 $7.96 $7.96 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 40°C on August 7? No 8 0.985 $7.88 $-0.04 -0.5%