PnL (30d)

+$3,819

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$411

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

34,364W / 5,768L · 22,452 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

46,249W / 15,448L · 887 open

Trades (30d)

62,584

across 10,349 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$0.67

avg win $18 · loss $121

Profit Factor

1.04

$90,770 won / $86,953 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$673

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	85.6% 34,364W/5,768L	10349	$1,794,976
🌤 Weather	91.2% 4,253W/411L	1540	$52,380
🏛 Politics	81.5% 88W/20L	472	$54,176
🎬 Culture	84.3% 102W/19L	241	$7,595
⚽ Sports	90.9% 10W/1L	238	$115,167
💵 Economy	71.8% 28W/11L	237	$84,355
🤖 Tech	59.7% 40W/27L	112	$4,258
₿ Crypto	72.7% 24W/9L	23	$1,053
🔬 Science	—	15	$154

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.999	$13.98	$0.01	+0.0%
Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.998	$13.96	$-0.01	-0.0%
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.996	$13.94	$-0.03	-0.2%
Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.996	$13.94	$-0.04	-0.3%
Will Recraft have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.995	$13.93	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.988	$13.82	$-0.15	-1.1%
Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.987	$13.81	$-0.15	-1.1%
Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.986	$13.80	$-0.17	-1.2%
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.986	$13.80	$-0.17	-1.3%
Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.978	$13.69	$-0.28	-2.0%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.970	$13.57	$-0.40	-2.9%
Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.890	$12.46	$2.52	+25.4%
Will Thinky be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	1.000	$9.00	$0.00	+0.1%
Will Mistral be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.999	$8.99	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.999	$8.99	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.999	$8.99	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.998	$8.98	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.997	$8.97	$-0.02	-0.2%
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.986	$8.87	$-0.04	-0.5%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.936	$8.43	$-0.48	-5.4%
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.926	$8.34	$-0.48	-5.5%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.925	$8.32	$-0.13	-1.6%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	9	0.846	$7.61	$0.70	+10.2%
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	16	0.360	$5.76	$5.26	+1052.0%
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?	No	14	0.275	$3.85	$-0.07	-1.8%